Saturday, December 30, 2006

How Much Does This Hurt?

It's 8:00am on Saturday and I am about to leave for my daughter's final tournament basketball game in downtown Charleston. This is the reason for my two week trip, and it has been worth every effort to see Alana mature into her team's best player, her team's leader and inspiration. Maybe I had some part in it, many years ago.

But these two weeks have also served to remind me how much damage I had done by leaving them a couple years ago. It's invisible, silent, beneath the faces of my two daughters, now young women, the change I missed when another calling took me away.

No regrets, no tears good-bye.

Maybe everything works out for the best in the end. For everything lost, something is gained. But sitting by myself last night, alone with all the memories, doubts, and love, with the sound of the Atlantic off in the distance, my only thought was,

How much does this hurt?


A

Thursday, December 28, 2006

Uranium Picks

We've bought a few uranium picks based on the very bullish uranium analysis of Jim Dines. You can see my recent Blogs on this here. A couple picks that have done very well have been PNP.TO and FRG. I don't usually like to buy stocks that have "dot_extentions", but Pinetree Capital, PNP.TO has been an excellent pick.

What to do now?

In his last two issues of The Dines Report, Jim Dines devoted most of the editorial content to making the case that the bull market in uranium stocks is still ahead, not behind. In particular, he likes, among others, these two stocks, FRG and PNP.TO.

So I'm holding tight, will add more on any drops and am basically following Dines into this sector, which he thinks is THE sector for the new year.

A

Thursday, December 21, 2006

NTRZ

NTRZ was a pick from Muathe.com, a service I highlighted a few weeks ago, here. It was first brought to attention on Dec 12th as a "Stock to Watch", closing price $2.45. The on Monday Dec 18th Muathe sent out an Intra-day alert that NTRZ was breaking out, closing price that day was $2.45.

NTRZ hit $2.74 today. That's 11.8% from a $2.45 entry. But more meaningfully, as Eric Muathe points out repeatedly on his charts, the chart pattern is his standard breakout type set-up. This is why I like the service, its not just a source of trading ideas, it is a source of education on chart patterns, and one in particular that shows up again and again in the huge triple digit winners over the years. NTRZ may or may not become one of those, but even when using his recommended 5-10% stop, it is likely this pattern will catch enough of these doublers and triplers to make the effort worthwhile.

Someone sent me an email a while back, accusing me of being nothing but a shill. In the case of Muathe.com, a compliment.

A

Monday, December 18, 2006

Sally Says.....

For the uninitiated, Sally is our Lady of the I-buy, our near real time alert service that calls attention to insider buying on the open market, which itself is often a harbinger of higher stock prices. You can read more about Sally here.

Last week Sally pointed out that Insiders were all over NR - Newpark Resources. This is not a typical series of I-Buys, where Insiders try to scoop up a severely undervalued stock that has gotten unjustly whacked in the marketplace. Here, Insiders have been buying what they consider a severely undervalued stock as it is racing to new highs....every day last week. In the past five trading days NR has risen from $6.50, to $7.68 this morning, or about 20%.

NR started 2006 at about $9.50 a share. Is it headed back that high, or higher? NR's Insiders seem to be weighing in on this question with their wallets. As for me, 4 out of 5 I-buys are day-trades for me, trading the pop that usually follows the public dissemination of Insider-Buys.

But about one of the five, I hang onto longer term, and that is the case here. As long as NR is headed up, up toward double figures, I'm along for the ride.

A

Tuesday, December 12, 2006

Sixteen Candles

Tired of having the bellowing, bald, banal Cramer on my front Blog, here is something new, something I've never done before at AllAllan.

Below are the sixteen stocks I am currently holding in the fund I manage. Although I do a lot of short term trading in the fund, one of my systems actually holds stocks over the course of weeks and/or months. It is this portion of the fund that is represented by these stocks.

All are bought on the basis of both fundamental and technical considerations, and those same considerations are put into play when removing a stock from the portfolio.

So for whatever it is worth, with all the usual cautions, disclaimers and limitations of warranties, express or implied, and without further ado-booyah, my sixteen candles:

AAPL
AMAG
ANAD
FNSR
FRG
GOOG
ISIS
LNOP
LNUX
PNP
PSEM
ROY
SIGM
SIMG
SRVY
ZOLT

Wednesday, November 29, 2006

Cramer's Report Card

I haven't beat up on ole Jim Cramer for awhile, so let's take a quick look-see at his year-to-date progress in his public portfolio. Remember from past pieces, I like to look at what he does, not what he says, to evaluate his worth as a stock picker. His public (for subscription) Action Alerts PLUS portfolio is the closest he comes to a real time track record to gauge his stock picking abilities, or lack thereof.

Year to date, the S&P 500 index is up about 12% and the Russell 2000 index is up a little over 16%. For the same period, Jim Cramer's Action Alerts Plus portfolio is up 3.89%.

That means that the charities that Cramer donates his profits from the portfolio to would have had about an additional $250,000 if Jim had put the portfolio in an S&P index fund at the beginning of the year, or about an additional $360,000 if he had put the money into a Russell 2000 index fund.

So let's give Jimbo a grade for his performance. He didn't lose money in bull market, so we really can't fail him. But he couldn't beat the most mundane of all indexes, the S&P 500, so we can't give him much of a grade above "C". That's leaves a "C" or a "D". Normally, class participation counts, and with Cramer all over the TV and radio, he certainly is in our face enough with his stock opinions to make a case for extra credit for effort.

But, there's the rub. The first rule of medicine and the first rule of investing are the same, First, do no harm. One who bellows his opinions in such a ubiquitous persona owes a duty to the public to first, do no harm. It's one thing to short change a charitable trust by poor performance, quite another to lure an unsuspecting public into a false sense of competency.

Cramer get's a "D", passing, but barely so, Mr. Harvard Hedge Fund Honcho.

A

Tuesday, November 28, 2006

Two New Ideas

APNS

Applied NeuroSolutions - A very small cap biotechnology company which today announced a deal with Lilly to develop therapeutics to treat Alzheimer's. This $38MM company is trading on the Bulletin Board for about 40 cents. This is a pretty nice deal for such a small company and may provide a speculative opportunity not unlike NNVC at 10 cents a share.

ROY

International Royalty Corporation is a diversified mine royalty company with royalty interests in nickel, copper, zinc, gold, diamonds, coal and uranium. Royalty companies are generally less risky then operating companies, so you get exposure to the sector without a lot of the risk. IRC's profit margins are among the highest in the industry, but that is not yet reflected in the multiples of future earnings inherent in the stock's price. According to J. Taylor who follows ROY, the company's stock price, if comparable to other royalty companies, should be 2X to 3X it's current price. This is both an inflation play, a precious and industrial metals play, an uranium play and a value play.

I have positions in both these ideas.

A

Wednesday, November 22, 2006

Three Quick Picks

(1) LNOP is busting out, +10% this morning; too late? See Quick Pick #3.

(2) URRE is a Bulletin Board Uranium stock; the COO bought 50,000 shares on the open market a week ago......Heads Up.

(3) David Gordon has an excellent Blog today on Entelechy (the realization of potential): "And that is the secret. Focus your attention on the investment opportunities, not the general markets." Read it!

A

Sunday, November 19, 2006

Remembering Bo Schembechler

I was a sophomore at the University of Michigan when Bo Schembechler replaced Bump Eliot as head football coach. The closest I ever got to Bo was Astronomy 101. You see back then, in order to graduate with a BA, you needed things like science, math and foreign language credits. The toughest of these was science and we had an Astronomy 101 Professor named Doc Losh. She was a crusty old critter, but loved Michigan football. The rumor, and as it turned out reality, was that her grading scheme was "A" for Athletes, "B" for Boys, and normal grades according to merit for everyone else.

Accordingly, the entire Michigan football team took Astronomy 101 from Doc Losh, along with yours truly. I got a B.

Below are some memories of students who actually met the man.

A


-----------------------------------


Remembering Bo
Stories from lives the longtime Michigan coach touched


The first time I was ever in Michigan Stadium, I was carrying a bass drum as part of Band Day. We had to try to fill the stadium with high school kids wearing band uniforms to make it look filled. And all that changed in 1969, and it changed because of a guy named Bo.

I've heard a lot of people pontificate about what their view of Michigan tradition is, but Bo is the Michigan tradition. The reason we're able to fight over how big the stadium should be and how many people we can pack in it is all about Coach Bo Schembechler. I had dinner with him last night, and we met with the team twice this week, and he's still coaching. I don't know what's going on right now and where he is, but I'm sure he's still coaching.

David Brandon
David Brandon played football for Michigan under Schembechler. He is CEO of Domino's Pizza and a member of the University Board of Regents. He made these remarks at yesterday's meeting of the Board of Regents, shortly after hearing that Schembechler had collapsed.



When I was in fourth grade, few things were more important to me than Michigan football. Although Bo Schembechler coached well before I was actively following football, the legacy he left at Michigan was undeniable.

When I was 10, his book "Michigan Memories" came out, and he went on a book-signing tour that made a stop in my hometown. I was ecstatic to find out that this coaching legend would grace my humble town with his presence. Unfortunately, his tour stopped at our Barnes & Noble on a Wednesday.

Much to my surprise, my dad let me skip school to go. After more than an hour, I timidly made my way to the table where he sat. A wave a terror hit me as I became star-struck by the man before me.

He could see I was nervous. He shook my hand and boldly said, "You look a little young to not be in school. Hopefully this is a one-time thing?"

I laughed and promised him I wouldn't miss any more school - unless Lloyd Carr decided to come to town. Bo grabbed my shoulder and smiled, asking my dad if he wanted to get a picture of his son with the old coach. In that second, I could honestly envision myself as a grandson of Bo.

Although my time with Bo was short, I can tell you he has one of the most vivid and caring personalities I have ever encountered. Bo Schembechler, you'll be missed.

Andy Reid
Reid is an LSA freshman and a Daily sports writer.



Although we knew Bo had cheated death for years, we all seemed to think he'd live forever. So, as I write this, I'm still a little stunned.

Bo was the greatest man I ever met. He had more energy, more passion, more heart than anyone I have ever known. He had tremendous pride, but little ego; he hated talking about himself, and loved talking about you. He was inspiring just to be around.

Of course, he'll be remembered for restoring Michigan's tradition. When Bo took the job at Michigan in 1969, the Athletic Department was deep in the red. They didn't have much back then, and they had to get dressed on the second floor of Yost Field House. They sat in rusty, folding chairs and hung their clothes on bent bolts in the wall.

Bo's assistants started complaining. "What the hell is this?" they said. "We had better stuff at Miami!" Bo cut that off right away. "No, we didn't," he said. "See this chair? Fielding Yost sat in this chair. See this spike? Fielding Yost hung his hat on this spike. And you're telling me we had better stuff at Miami? No, men, we didn't. We have tradition here, Michigan tradition, and that's something no one else has!"

Thanks to Bo, that tradition is the best in the nation.

As for me, I have lost a great friend, someone I will never, ever forget. Amazingly, thousands of people can say the same. He was that big.

John U. Bacon
Bacon is finishing a book he wrote with Bo Schembechler, "Bo's Lasting Lessons: Schembechler Teaches the Timeless Fundamentals of Leadership," due out by Warner Books in August of 2007.



The first day in class, our professor stood up and said we had a special guest, a friend of the public policy program: Bo Schembechler. I turned around in amazement; it was an honor to be in the same classroom as him.

The first time I really approached him was the first time he was in class after he was hospitalized. I asked how he was doing, and he told me about his new pacemaker and told me how he was going to start taking it easier.

This past Tuesday was his last lecture, and I sat next to his wife. I asked if he was going to the game, and he said he would be watching from home.

When I heard the news today, I didn't feel like I lost Bo Schembechler, the legend. I really thought that I had lost a friend.

Kyle Grubman
Grubman is a Kinesiology student enrolled in Public Policy 201, which Schembechler had been attending this semester.



During one our first winter workouts after Bo came to Michigan, he delivered an edict: no mustaches. This was at a time when there was social unrest on college campuses around the country. It was at the height of Afros, goatees, mutton-chop sideburns and, of course, mustaches. Bo said if we were worried about the way we looked, we'd be too vain to play as a team.

Now, once the mandate was delivered, I was trying to figure out how I was going to keep my mustache. I had been growing this thing since high school, and it had just started to darken enough so you could see it. So the next day I went to Bo's office to plead my case. "Bo," I said, "I have to bring something to your attention."

Bo said, "Yeah, what's that?"

"It's a black man's heritage to have a mustache, and you can't ask us to deny our heritage, especially after all the indignities we've endured from slavery right up until today. Bo, you will not find a black man anywhere today that doesn't have one."

Bo didn't say anything but just stared at me for a minute, trying to figure out if I was serious or not. And finally, he said, "Get the (expletive) out of my office." At that point I didn't know if he bought my story or not.

The next day at practice he called the team together and started out by saying, "It has been brought to my attention that it's a black man's heritage to have a mustache, but you white guys don't have any heritage, and I want all mustaches, goatees and mutton-chop sideburns shaved off."

It would be 20 years before I told him the truth.

Jim Betts
Betts played quarterback and safety under Schembechler in 1969 and 1970.



The first time I sat with Bo, in 1998, he asked me what I thought of how messy his office was, filled floor to ceiling in trophies and papers. The last time I sat with Bo, in the Michigan Stadium press box two weeks ago, he asked me to feel his new pacemaker - "this thing they're making me wear" - and to get him an apple cider. I gladly complied with both.

By the time I met Bo, the fire-breathing coach was gone, given way to a more realistic life.

But he was all human, all the time. The stories remained, and in his office, he'd get three or four calls from former players in just an hour. He'd pick up the phone and start talking - then realize you were still sitting there, make a joke and start up with you again.

He just loved making people happy, because that made him happy.

When I touched that pacemaker, I literally could feel what made him tick.

And I can't imagine anything will ever feel like that again.

Mark Snyder
Snyder is a sports writer for the Detroit Free Press and a former Daily sports writer.


For members of the Michigan Marching Band, the return to Ann Arbor in the fall is accompanied by a grueling two weeks of nonstop rehearsals known as "band week." By the end of band week my freshman year, we were exhausted physically and mentally.

On the last night, our drum major led us to the outer entrance of the tunnel. Surviving band week had earned us the privilege of running through the tunnel for the first time. When we reached the end of the tunnel, the returning members greeted us with "The Victors."

Once we had joined the rest of the band, band director Jamie Nix announced that he had one more surprise for us. As he said this, Bo Schembechler walked out of the tunnel.

Bo spoke to us about how important the band is to Michigan football. He told us how much he appreciated the band during his coaching career at Michigan. Bo told us how much pride we should have for being able to play "The Victors" and wear our maize and blue uniforms.

I'll never forget the night that Bo Schembechler taught me what it means to be a Michigan Wolverine.

Katie Garlinghouse
Garlinghouse is a Daily editorial cartoonist and a member of the Michigan Marching Band.



Bo Schembechler was the most intimidating guy any young sports writer ever met. If you asked him a stupid question, you got treated like one of his players; you did not want to commit the sin of being unprepared.

That said, Bo was about a lot more than football. In 1983, at the press lunch after the Ohio State game, Bo was relaxed and animated. He broke out a fistful of cigars and started offering them around the room.

I'm thinking, "I'll get one for my Dad. He'll think that's cool."

But when the guy to my right - a Daily writer Bo didn't much like - got ripped for his age and audacity, I kept my mouth shut and passed on the stogie.

My father had come to his first college football game that season - I wrote a column in the Daily titled "Michigan fans, please make room for Daddy" - but days after OSU, he had his second heart attack. In the hospital, he saw Bo on the Donohue show and called to say how impressed he was.

On my return to Ann Arbor, I dropped Bo a note, rehashing the whole story and asking if he'd send my dad a cigar. I expected nothing; Bo never seemed to like Daily sports writers, and he certainly didn't owe us any favors.

A week later, I'm entering the athletic office for an interview, just as Bo is walking out. He grabs my hand, claps my shoulder and says, "Jaffer, I just sent your old man one of my best five-dollar cigars."

There was a handwritten note, too.

But what truly stands out with me is what happened next, because every time I ran into Bo - and we did cross paths a few times - he always asked first about my dad.

Chuck Jaffe
Jaffe is a senior columnist for
MarketWatch.com and was a Daily senior
sports editor in 1984.

Friday, November 17, 2006

Buying Breakouts

AMAG is up 25% today on some good news, but I have been in AMAG for several weeks and am up 40%+ from entry. Same for CHTR, I'm up 50% in three weeks. FTGX is up 15% in four weeks. What do all of these monster gains have in common?

There were all recommendations from Muathe.com.

Here's the deal, it's two weeks free, then $159/year after that. Worth it? Those breakouts above weren't just some of the picks, they were each intra-day breakout pick I was sent since subscribing six weeks ago, except for the two latest picks which came this week and which I am not identifying because they are still fresh picks for paying subscribers.

I don't recommend pay sites very often, but this is one of the exceptions and exceptional it is.

A

Thursday, November 16, 2006

FRG - update

FRG was our favorite of the Dines uranium picks, because it was the only one buyable on a domestic exchange. It's up big today, over 12%, on news of a new uranium find.

This one may be just beginning it's ascent.

A

Wednesday, November 15, 2006

Monday, November 13, 2006

InstantBull.com

We've added a link to your stock blog at InstantBull.com!
We'd appreciate a link back / mention.


Newest features added:
- Direct one-click access to over 100 of the Web's most influential stock bloggers (as of November 2006).
- A Web 2.0 popular ticker cloud for stocks recently searched on all the popular message boards - "buzz stocks".
- Investor Village's stock message boards (select the button at top right, then click GO).
- Our interface now rescales automatically so that users can easily view contained pages - view dozens of ticker specific pages at the leading investor portals, ALL from one site.

Check out our Media page with all the buzz about our free new service, including a "Best of the Best Web 2.0 Sites" listing.

Cheers,
The InstantBull Team
Email: support@InstantBull.com
Web: http://www.InstantBull.com

Saturday, November 04, 2006

Jim Dines and Uranium Picks

Jim Dines was on PBS last night, the Nightly Business Report, touting his favorite uranium stocks. Since Dines went public with four picks, its clearly ok to finally name names here. Better yet, I'll let Dines do it; here is a link to his appearance last night:

Jim Dines on Nightly Business Report, Nov. 3, 2006

The stocks Dines identified are:

Fronteer Development FRG
Laramide Resources LAM.TO
Mega Uranium MGA.TO
Pinetree Capital PNP.TO

Only FRG is traded on a domestic exchange, so that is the easiest selection to trade. The others are International Equities, require phone calls to brokers and are a bit more cumbersome to follow on a daily basis. Accordingly, so far I only own FRG, but I own a bunch of it and from much lower prices. But according to Dines (his latest newsletter hit last night) this bull market in Uranium and Uranium Stocks is still early and fortunes will be made in this sector in the years ahead.

A

Friday, November 03, 2006

Paradigm - update

I received this email from Robert Taylor today and want to pass it on to everyone. His system has been short all week.

A
------------------------------------------------
Dear Taylortrend subscribers,

The interactive forum is now open to the public. You will find the login slightly different but self-explanatory. Hopefully many more individuals will join in and pick up some insights from our members about trading the Xyber9 market forecasts.

I have also decided to open the Xyber9 market forecasts up to the public. I feel that my discovery should be enjoyed by all.

My intent is to bring attention to my book Paradigm and the essay The Taylor Effect and the Technical Appendix. If I get enough scientists in other non related scientific fields to look at gravitational fluctuations as a guideline or better said, a main driver of human behavior, then the paradigm will truly begin.

My main goal is to open the minds of specialists in many different scientific fields, for instance, geophysics, geyser activity, ice flows in the North Atlantic, hurricane frequencies, rain and drought cycles, personal fitness, criminal behavior patterns, psychology and medical science just to name a few.

I appreciate all your comments and continued support for my program. Please login into the Interactive Forum if you have any questions about trading the Xyber9 market forecasts or have answers for the less experienced investor/trader.

I will be posting in the website www.taylortrends.com soon a real time trading chart which will display a trading account I opened on October the 20th. This trading account will incorporate my tax deferred hedge strategy, which is always long the Spiders (symbol SPY) and short the S&P500 E-minis for the weekly down trends only. The securities account is a standard brokerage account. The futures account is set up in an IRA futures account. I will be providing my trading intentions for this account one week in advance of any actions I will be taking in the weekly forecasts updates. You might find this real time trading exercise worth watching. We will be providing more information about this trading account as soon as the webmaster has the page ready to open.

Again, thank you for your continued interest and support.

Best regards,
Robert Taylor

Thursday, November 02, 2006

4:30 am PDT

What a month ahead of us, before the Thanksgiving break we have three weeks of trading, birthdays for Ilene and my brother Bob, an election, the anniversary of JFK's murder and full calendar of snow and cold in eastern Washington. So I sit here, with Imus on in the corner, getting ready for another trading day, wondering about my Dad, who's heart gave out three weeks after the great crash of 1987 and for whom I will light a yarzeit candle tonight at sunset, and tell him how much I miss him after all these years.

A

Tuesday, October 31, 2006

Bird Flu Update

This piece of news from Monday has investment ramifications written all over it:

New strain of bird flu found in China

Now read this from a couple of weeks ago:

Governments still dithering on bird flu
A third of countries haven't pinned down vaccine plans, study finds


It was about nine months ago when we had a bona fide run on bird flu stocks. From the most speculative penny stocks (NNVC) to blue chip pharmaceuticals (SNY) and everything in-between, profits were fast and furious. Last March I posted this list of potential bird flu plays. For playing the sector going into flu season, any combination thereof would be a good start and for what its worth, the list still represents a compilation of my favorite bird flu stock plays, starting with NVAX and NNVC, which one of you pointed out in a comment under my previous blog.

A

Monday, October 30, 2006

The Next QCOM

Back in the mid-1990's, George Gilder was one of the first technology analysts to identify QCOM as "the next QCOM." In the past ten years, QCOM has gone up 100 fold, going from a split adjusted 50 cents to over $50 and is currently in the mid-$30's.

It is clear from Gilder's newsletter, The Gilder Technology Report, that this decade's QCOM is appearing on his radar screen just about as clear as QCOM was ten years ago. The company in Lanoptics, but the gem is a wholly owned division called EZChip

LNOP
is a thinly traded $14 stock, with an initial price target north of $85 according to Gilder. I'm in at lower prices, but if Gilder is right again, it won't matter what you pay for it in 2006, it will be a lot higher in 2008. With that kind of appreciation, one pick a decade is fine with me.


A

Monday, October 16, 2006

Letters to the Blogger

Although I try to answer timely questions here ASAP after they are posted, I also get a lot of private email, general questions about me, about my trading methods and the markets. What follows are some questions and answers that I think might be helpful to everyone, or at least easy enough to answer so as to make me look good.



Allan, you don't seem to be posting much anymore, what's up?

I thought you would never ask. First of all, I don't want to publish blogs just for the sake of publishing a blog, there are enough bloggers doing that. Posting trading ideas is my favorite kind of blog, so they take priority assuming I have the time, have already established my position (you knew that, right?), and believe that there is still enough time to get into the idea and make a buck. AMRI is a perfect example, I bought in under $10, posted it soon thereafter and it's now at $11.00, all in about one week. Win-win-win.

Secondly, I have been very busy since late summer setting up my second investment fund, Northern Sky Partners, II. The story behind NSKY, II is a fascinating example of how the Internet can not only be instrumental in creating wonderful trading systems but can also put the right people together to capitalize and leverage resources. A vulture fund manager on the east coast who is also a reader of my blog contacted me this summer and asked if I would be interested in taking in some institutional investors and managing a fund based on my trading methodologies. I had already done this once, based on my day-trading system, to wit: Northern Sky Partners I. After a little tweaking I was able to adapt my system to accomodate much larger amounts of funds under management.

The only caveat was that I wanted to offer the new fund to my exisiting clients first, before taking it to institutional investors. Well, within about 48 hours of being told of the second fund, all my exisiting clients jumped into the new fund and we were off to the races. Setting things up for the institutions has been an enormous task and we are just now finishing up the dotting of the i's and crossing of the t's. Yes, my blog has suffered a bit because of it, but what a great opportunity for me and my clients, some of whom have been with me since 1983.

By-the-way, NSKY I was up just over 40% in both it's first two years of trading. We must be doing something right.



Who or what is, "Sally?"


One of my many short-term strategies is to buy stocks that have significant insider buying. A trading partner of mine wrote a program that scans the SEC site for real time Form 4 filings that reveal the latest insider purchases of their own company's stock. He named his program, "Sally." We decided to share Sally with everyone, because, (1) technology enabled us to do so with little work on our part, and (2) because we were certain that it would not interfere with our own trading, and (3) because we thought it was one of the simplist of our methods that we could share and give the trading public something for nothing. So Sally is simply a free, real time, insider alert service. Trading these alerts is an art, but at least you have a fighting chance having the information as soon as just about anyone has it.

Allan, I bought xxxx [insert symbol here] at xx.xx [insert price here] and wondered if you think I should sell it or hold it or buy more?

This is probably the most asked question of them all. I usually answer by describing what I did under the same or similar circumstances. But what it usually comes down to is you have a small profit and wonder if it is large enough to take or if the stock is going higher in which case you should hold longer.

LISTEN UP:

I would rather have ten tiny profits then one large wait-and-see.


I, you, he, she, they, them, Nixon, Koufax, everyone, on this blog and reading these words makes money T-R-A-D-I-N-G. They don't call it Buy and Hope for nothing.

Who are you?

My name is Allan Harris. I spent 17 long, hard years as an attorney in Atlanta, Georgia. I got married and had kids, moved to the beach, gave up the law, met a girl, got a divorce, changed time zones and now trade for a living. I love what I do, who I am with and those two teen-aged daughters who miss me, left far across the land and who I hope some day will understand. I played hockey in college and rode a bike every day on the South Carolina beach, but my body has grown older, stiffer, rounder and I sit more now then I move. I dreamed a thousand dreams and lived in-between them all, until about 3 years ago, when magic and fate came knocking and I reached for the golden ring. Who am I? All of the above. Quiet in your thoughts, in a moment of secret wonder.

I never felt magic crazy as this
I never saw moons knew the meaning of the sea
I never held emotion in the palm of my hand
Or felt sweet breezes in the top of a tree
But now you're here
Brighten my northern sky.



So how do we reach you by email?


Click on "View My Complete Profile" and you will be taken to a Contact Link.


A

THIS BLOG POST NOR ANY POST ON THS SITE IS NEITHER AN OFFER TO SELL NOR A SOLICITATION OF AN OFFER TO BUY ANY SECURITIES.

Wednesday, October 11, 2006

NNVC - news

NanoViricides, Inc. Presents at FDA Nanotechnology Meeting
Wednesday October 11, 7:30 am ET
Final Draft of Form 10-SB for SEC Submission Completed


WEST HAVEN, Conn.--(BUSINESS WIRE)--NanoViricides, Inc, (Pink Sheets: NNVC - News) President and Chairman, Dr. Anil Diwan, presented a talk at the U.S. Food and Drug Administration (FDA) Public Meeting on Nanotechnology in Bethesda, MD on Oct. 10.

Tuesday, October 10, 2006

AMRI

AMRI is running this morning, a delayed reaction to the NRPH news yesterday about their ADHD drug. NRPH is up about 90% in 24 hours. Can AMRI be far behind? Here is a link why AMRI is running:

AMRI Announces Long Term Manufacturing Agreement with New River Pharmaceuticals

I bought into AMRI under $10, it's at $10.50 now, but might be headed a lot higher.


A

Tuesday, September 26, 2006

Tale of Two Timers

Two proven methodologies that I have referred to in the past are Terry Laundry's
"T Theory" and Robert Taylor's "Taylor Trends." I am making note of them here because both of these two very disparate methodologies are converging into a single, bullish view of the months ahead. In fact both are suggesting that there will be a brief decline into mid-October (Taylor) or early November (T Theory) at the latest, then we are off to the races well into the future.

Although both timers can be off on the very short-term, they both have an excellent record of intermediate and longer-term forecasts. According to both, from wherever and whenever we bottom in the coming weeks, the trade of the year is to get long and stay long soon thereafter.

A

PS: Taylor Trends has an interactive member forum up and running, for those who have read the book, Paradigm. It will be interesting to compare notes with others who are following and appreciate these forecasts. You can access the forum at the Taylor Trends member web site.

Friday, September 22, 2006

Sunday, September 17, 2006

Back to the Beach

Ah, Kiawah. I'm back on the beach for a week, here celebrating Alana's 16th birthday and to watch her defend her No. #1 seed position on her high school tennis team against two formidible South Carolina Independent School Association Class AA opponents.

The flight Saturday was uneventful. I bought a copy of The New Yorker in the Spokane airport and read it cover to cover during the two legs of the flight to Charleston. The first leg was consumed by a three-hour read on Bill Clinton, a very long article written by David Remnick who followed Clinton from the World Cup final game to a tour of Africa meeting with heads of state in an attempt to do something about one out of four African's having contracted exposure to the AIDS virus. Well written and fascinating, whatever you think of Clinton.

On the second leg, from Chicago to Charleston, I read the rest of the magazine, including an article on the neurological goings on when we are faced with risk:reward decision making as it relates to buying and selling of stocks. It ends up that we are neurologically programmed to be chicken-shits when it comes to economic risks. We make the wrong decisions by giving much more credence to risk then the risk:reward parameters suggest. And that most successful gamblers, traders and investors are able to intellectually overcome this general population's tendency to avoid risk and to view any economic choice for what it is, an issue of probabilities.

At 5:00pm ET I landed in Charleston, picked up my Hertz rental and was off to Kiwawh. I stopped first to pick up Alana who will be staying with me the week, but she insisted on driving her car over to the villa, the BMW X-3 that I shipped to her last month. The Villa is overlooking the beach and has secure wireless high-speed internet, which should help me make the cost of this trip back in trading next week.
Soon Sarah, my 18-year-old joined us and the three of us went to the local grocery store for supplies for the upcoming week. Ilene would be proud. I checked all ingredients for partially hygrogenated gunk...before buying it.

A couple of observations about being back in the southeast. First, instead of a heavy dose of Pac-10 football everywhere on TV, there are ACC and SEC games. Secondly, whereas Washington state is barely aware of tropical storms in the Atlantic, local news here is obsessed with these storms. On the other hand, it's still summer here.

So today will be a combination of beach and birthday activities, with just enough time to write a new blog before Alana wakes up and I become a dad again.

A

Wednesday, September 06, 2006

Paradigm - Update

On April 5, 2006 I wrote a review of Paradigm, a novel written by Robert Taylor which discloses a market timing model based on natural earth cycles. As I indicated in my review, Robert Taylor maintains a web site that tracks those cycles and issues market forecasts based on the theory he espoused in his book. It is an engaging theory (and novel) and I have been closely following the forecasts for the past four months.

What follows below is a track record of the forecasts as I have been interpreting them. Interpreting is a little misleading, as for the most part they are set out clearly and succinctly, in an easy to follow and tradable manner. But there is some leeway in exact entries and exits, so to be consistent, I based every one of these trades on buying/selling the Open on the day indicated in the forecasts as a likely change in trend. In other words, the trades below can be considered, "give or take one trading day," in about half the signals.

All signals are based on the DIA, the Dow Diamonds which is tradable in and of itself, although I prefer the near term at-the-money options for leverage.


BUY April 15 111.31.....+1.94
SELL April 24 113.25.....-0.41
BUY April 28 113.66.....+2.17
SELL May 9 115.83.....+2.13
BUY May 17 113.70.....-1.26
SELL May 26 112.44.....+1.19
BUY May 31 111.25.....-0.95
SELL June 18 110.30.....-0.29
BUY June 22 110.59.....+1.63
SELL June 30 112.22.....+0.88
BUY July 12 111.34.....+0.16
SELL August 1 111.50.....+0.44
BUY August 11 111.06.....+2.39
SELL August 18 113.45.....+0.25
BUY August 24 113.20.....+1.42
SELL Sept 5 114.62.....+0.48 (open)
BUY Sept 8/11

*Sixteen trades in 17 weeks.
*Twelve wins, four losses = 75% winners.
*Average DIA points per trade, 0.76.
*Average option pro forma, based on 0.76 DIA pts per trade, about 40%.

This represents some pretty good timing and you can find out more about it at the Taylor Trends web site. My understanding is that the forecasts are posted free to anyone who reads the book.

The above trades are based on the shortest term time model, one of three timing models that are based on the cycle methodology. The medium term model I already highlighted in my original blog, but those signals were all backtested. The above signals were real time. Finally, based on the forecasts of the other two models along with the one above, we are about one month away from one hell of a BUY SIGNAL.

One hell of a Buy Signal, kind of like the way that sounds.

A

Sunday, September 03, 2006

THE GRYPHON

One

"To think differently," was the earliest maxim at GRYPHON Systems. So too was the question, "Why not?" which sprang from The Creator's sometimes irrating habit of believing most anything was possible.

Why not...?

Yes, why not invent trading modules that require no input from the user and demand no external research efforts? Why not integrate multiple, modular adaptive trading methodologies into one symphonic system? Just a couple of examples of the challenges which over the years have resulted in an impressive list of "First in the World" accolades.

Technical innovations without specific aims often result in more and more demands being placed on the user. At GRYPHON Systems, we don't believe in that type of development. A study of our research efforts over a decade will show that our work has been directed toward one goal- to present to the world a new approach, a way to offer analysis as true to life as technically possible with modules being as easy to use as "one touch on one button." This fundamental idea- you could call it human quality- is what gained GRYPHON Systems its worldwide reputation for uniqueness.

One thing you will notice about our modules is that highly advanced technology is discreet. It takes more upon itself and asks less of you. And, as a natural consequence, a simple striking design emerged.

True harmony of form and function spells beauty in any language.

Two

NOT SO LONG AGO, a few of the members of the design team got together for wine and melon to talk about the type of individual who invests in THE GRYPHON. It was a casual get together, more conversation than meeting; an easy back-and-forth as corporate interchanges go.

A question came up, however, which focused us all on a single point. It seems that a heavily talented friend had asked a member of the design team if THE GRYPHON could be properly seen as a 'fast lane' product. Was it, as he had been told, the trading system to own- one more sophisticated statement he might make within his home?

Frowns went all around. Embarrassment was in the air for this distant friend.

The conversation that ensued distilled a single answer. It was that THE GRYPHON was meant only to place in the trader's hands analytical efficacy for all who chose to own it. The esteem in which it is held would not rub off on the owner. To us, using our products for social definition seemed a silly, quaintly adolescent idea, a quest better suited to the many more visible, if less valuable, symbolic products in the marketplace.

We felt that THE GRYPHON was such an easy product to own that its value would stand without the crutch of status. Its sophistication and its identity lay with its ability to analyze the markets without coloration and with its ability to keep trading at the forefront and technology parked out of the way.

So it went. Our friend with a quest for a 'message product' made us think quite hard about what we were trying to achieve with the system. Consensus about his need could only be reached tongue and cheek. It was simply decided that, while he may well end up owning THE GRYPHON , we would not in our hearts consider him to be one of our customers.

At one time or another, with one group or another, such talk goes on at GRYPHON Systems. It shapes our development efforts and loosens up the future for us. Perhaps it is not all that important that you know this, but we will wager that the effect of these conversations is half the reason you are interested in our products in the first place.

Hard to tell why no one ate the pear. Someone did say you couldn't trust a pear.

Three

WORD HAS IT that computer technology and a ceramic chip about an inch in diameter are going to relegate our intellects to the mists of memory. An interesting idea, shall we use our textbooks for placemats?

If, just for a moment, you direct your thoughts to securities trading rather that to the latest 'techno-fad' you will find that advancements in technology actually amplify the need for human intelligence. The human mind is now challenged with having to evaluate an ever increasing lineup of sophisticated products to use in analytical activities. If you are serious about trading, we are confident that you will choose to add a computerized trading aid to your methodology.

When choosing among the literally thousands of computer programs and aids out there, philosophical decisions must be made. Most programs offer canned indicators which have been used by traders over the past few decades. Others insist that "mystical" waves or angles or even planetary positions (!) can be used to forecast market moves.

When we look past the ludicrous, we see that there is a small, robust base of trading programs which have something meaningful to offer. These are not the ones that tout their results, splashing publications with advertisements of huge dollar gains. Rather, they describe themselves in ways that relate to the design philosophy behind their analytical activities.

This is the way to evaluate the best module for the user. By studying the methodologies behind the program, the trader can then, and only then, begin to make an informed decision. Therefore, we at GRYPHON Systems would submit that, with each new technological development, more intellectual prowess is needed if only to evaluate the actual abilities of the "fruits" of the relevant advancements. Sadly, we are now faced with having to expend significant effort evaluating the components of our toolbox. And, make no mistake, all computer trading aids are just that- tools. All aids, including those offered by GRYPHON Systems, serve to inform the trader, not to replace him.

All complex activities from aircraft control to surgery to trading can only be successfully handled by skilled individuals. Technological aids are essential in all such endeavors but they do not replace the user, they simply augment his efficacy.

A

Friday, September 01, 2006

Sally Fastmail Subscribers

For those of you who are getting intraday Sally insider updates through Fastmail, you should be aware that Fastmail is getting funky, it was down all day yesterday, and still down today... and therefore sally alert emails will be affected until they are back up.

A

Tuesday, August 22, 2006

Vulcan Oracle

Vulcan Oracle is a web site that builds itself as a place,

"to get real time stock trading advice without human reaction or emotion.The Vulcan Oracle is a software program, available for both Windows and Mac OS-X, that analyzes stocks in real-time, providing excellent trading advice as the market moves."

I ran across it last weekend while looking for Macintosh-friendly software and/or web-based services for stock trading ideas. Specifically, I wanted to find something that would organize day-trading candidates in user-freindly environment.

After two days of using the software, which is really a very nicely packaged web interface, I find the Vulcan worthy of a Blog and recommend it's generous free trial offer for all of you who are trading during the day. The data is organized in a series of "Stock Lists" which itself is divided by Bullish and Bearish price patterns. Bullish patterns include Big Inflows, Gap-Downs, Trend Reversals and Breakouts, while Bearish Patterns include Downtrends, Gap-Ups, Trend Reversals and Big Outflows. Each pattern is described and organized by user freindly sorting of percent change in price, or percent change in volume, or simply alphabetical. I'm not going to go into detail of all that is available at the site, describing it doesn't do justice to the utility of this information for those of us scalping stock moves day after day.

But I will mention two other features of the service that may be all that is necessary to persuade you to take a look. First, there are published stock trade recommendations with a stellar track record. Second, there is a community chat feature whereby you can talk, or type really, real time with other traders who are doing exactly what you are doing, scalping stocks for a few percent, over and over again, day after day. It's like having a real time blog with me and a dozen other me's, talking about these trades as they are happening.

Enough already. I don't endorse many commercial products here, so if one gets through, you can bet it's worth your while.

A

Thursday, August 17, 2006

Leveraged Alternative Energy Trade

For the Brain Trust that frequents AllAllan:

Hello:

There has been some talk on this board about uranium common equity trades. While I am not a short term trader, I am interested in a long term, preferably leverged, diversified, alternative energy play. Does anyone know of a security, or perhaps small basket of securities, on which I could take the long position, that would accomplish this?

Allan has suggested LEAP calls on an appropriate ETF, but I cannot find an ETF that fits this mold.

Thank you,

John Kercheval
Washington, DC

Tuesday, August 15, 2006

VLNC

One of our tucked away small-cap plays is Valence Technology.

VLNC has a couple things going for it, insider buying and batteries for notebooks, Segway and electric cars.

Valence's batteries have a novel feature of not spontaneously igniting.

As Dell and Sony try to spin their way out of this mess, keep an eye on VLNC.

CPHD

CPHD was hit with multiple I-buys yesterday. It opened today at 7.38 and has been as high as 7.80. It was available even lower yesterday. What do to? From Open to High today was 5.6%. Returns were better if you got in yesterday. What to do? What's your time frame? Daytrader, you're out with a nice gain of at least 3-4%, waiting for your next message from Sally. Position trader, CPHD was a $10 stock in June. Do these insiders think it's going to revist those levels? My guess is that they didn't buy CPHD for a 3-4% pop.

A

Monday, August 14, 2006

Thirty-Seven Years Ago

Anyone remember where you were?

I do.

Here.


A

Thursday, August 10, 2006

WSSI, again

As I write Thursday at 1:40PM ET, WSSI has popped from 10.20 to 10.65 in past 15 minutes. Although I sold 2/3 of my postion yesterday, I hung on to just enough to post today without regret. That's a gain of about 7% from my original entry. As far as what to do with remaining shares, I haven't a clue. Will probably hold on until it becomes a home run, or slides back under $10.00.

A

Wednesday, August 09, 2006

WSSI

Those of you who are getting Sally Alerts, got a triple play this morning with WSSI. First a Director filed a $2.0Million purchase, followed by another Director at $50K and finally, the CEO disclosed a $100K purchase. The stock closed yesterday at $9.90, opened today at $9.92 and was at about $9.97-10.00 when those I-Buys hit. The stock ran to as high as $10.30 in the aftermath of the filings. That's a pop of about 3% at its best. WSSI was a $20 stock less then one year ago and clearly these insiders see value here.

As for me, I took half my position off at about a 2.5% gain, and am holding the other half with a $10.05 mental stop. By mental stop, I mean that if the stock falls back below $10.05 I will either exit all of my position, or place a trailing stop on it all, as I wouldn't want to lose more then half my total profits.

Multiple insiders buying a stock that's at it's 52 week lows.........Thanks, Sally, you're a sweetheart.

A

Monday, August 07, 2006

Stansberry, again

Here's another one, haven't had time to identify the stock yet, so it's wide open for you folks.

A

PXP

PXP is up a little over $1.00 since last week's Blog. Take the money and run? That looks like what PXP is doing.

A

------------------------------------

PXP to Sell Oil Fields to Occidental
Monday August 7, 9:22 am ET
Plains Exploration to Sell Oil and Gas Fields to Occidental Petroleum for $865 Million
HOUSTON (AP) -- Plains Exploration & Production Co., an oil and gas company, on Monday sold some of its oil and gas assets to subsidiaries of Los Angeles-based Occidental Petroleum Corp. for $865 million in cash.
PXP said it is selling properties in California and Texas, including its interest in the Asphalto, Buena Vista and Mt. Poso fields in the San Joaquin Valley, the Sansinena field in the Los Angeles Basin, the Pakenham field in West Texas and other locations.

The companies differed on exactly how much oil the properties have.

Occidental said the properties will contribute about 56 million barrels of oil to its reserves. Plains offered a lower reserve estimate, of about 45 million barrels.

Similarly, Occidental said it expects "to substantially increase the current production rate of 8,900 net barrels of oil equivalent per day within the next few years," in a comment attributed in a release to Chairman and Chief Executive Ray R. Irani. Plains said the properties currently generate about 7,200 barrels per day.

The deal is expected to close on or before Sept. 30.

Plaiuns said it will use the proceeds for debt reduction and to repurchase stock.

Shares of Occidental rose $1.37 to $106.61 in premarket trading on INET electronic exchange, from their close Friday on the New York Stock Exchange at $105.24. Plains shares closed Friday at $44.26 on the NYSE.

Friday, August 04, 2006

Uranium Spec Play

Another hype campaign is beginning from Agora, this time on a "$1.30 Australian uranium play." Details below. But what I like about this one is that it is also a favorite of Jim Dines, who has been all over uranium stocks this past year or two. The stock appears to be Summit Resources. It's symbol is SMM on the Australian Exchange, and SRCSF on the OTC Exchange. I had to buy it by calling Schwab's Global Exchange Desk ($1.25), but Ilene was able to buy it electronically through Ameritrade ($1.26).

--------------------------------------------------------------------------
Hype email from Agora:

As you know, oil stocks have been on a run for the past five years as
the price of oil has doubled. But most people - especially those that don't
live in Australia - have missed the even bigger run in uranium. Theprice of uranium has gone up 1,400%.I've found one tiny $1.30 Australian company controlling more than $4 billion worth of uranium. This stock could likely bring quadruple-digit
gains to early investors. I suggest you read on for more information.

Christian DeHaemer
Founder, Red Zone Network



-75 Million Pounds of Uranium Lying Underneath an Australian
Mountainside...

-$4 Billion Worth of Nuclear Energy Waiting to be Sold...

-1.3 Billion Chinese Citizens Desperate for Cheap, Clean, Dependable
Power...

-1 Tiny Company Controlling It All.


By April 2007 This $1.30 Company Could Explode With Quadruple-Digit
Profits Allowing a Small Group of Savy Investors to Become the First
New Nuclear-Age Millionaires!

In the wake of a historic energy pact and with just one government
signature, a 1,084% gain could occur almost immediately, sending early investors
into an overnight retirement...


Dear Reader,

Over 10,000 miles away from the United States, lying off Queensland's
Mount Isa in Australia, sits one of the world's largest untapped uranium deposits.

The potential energy resources that could be extracted from this area
are conservatively estimated to be worth over $4 billion.

One small Australian mining company owns and controls this uranium
treasure chest and is currently sitting on at least 75 million pounds of measured
uranium oxide in three different deposits around the area.

And thanks to over 1.3 billion Chinese citizens desperate to keep the
power on in their country, this company is about to become one of the biggest
energy industry success stories over the last 20 years and send quick-thinking
investors into an early retirement.

How soon could this company bump you up into millionaire status?

Once the uranium this company is sitting on is mined, estimates are that
investors could see gains as large as 1,084% by April 2007.

Here's the story...

A Historic Agreement = Historic Gains

This past April, Australian Prime Minister John Howard agreed to a
historic deal with Chinese Premiere Wen Jiabao for his country to become the
prime uranium supplier to China to help satisfy its massive energy needs.

China: The World's Great Energy Devourer.
Next Up: Uranium

In 2004 China consumed 2.17 trillion kilowatt hours (kWh) of
electricity, with consumption projected to rise 4.3% per year until 2025...

China became the second-largest petroleum consumer in 2003. In 2004 it
had a total demand of 6.5 million barrels per day (bpd).
The U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA) predicts consumption will reach 14.2 million bpd by2025...

Coal comprises 65% of China's primary energy consumption. In 2003, 1.53
billion short tons, or 28% of the world total, was consumed by China. The EIA
predicts growth in consumption will average 6.2% per year from 2002-2005...

Natural gas currently accounts for only around 3% of total energy being
consumed in China, but consumption is expected to nearly double by 2010. Source:
Energy Information Administration, CIA World Factbook"

China gobbles up energy, commodities and natural resources faster than
it can find ways to replenish them. The country is desperate to keep power
grids running, making its nuclear agreement with Australia all the more vital.

China is the world's second-largest energy consumer after the United
States, and plans to make the shift away from fossil fuels, intending to
quadruple its nuclear energy production by 2020.

Australia, which holds about 40% of the world's known low-cost uraniumdeposits,
has stepped up to the plate to supply China with the needed resources.

Australia's current uranium exports sit at about $355 million per year.
With the partnership with China now in place, that figure is expected to climb to
$710 million by 2010.

But there's one small company sitting on $4 billion worth of uranium,ready to mine it and deliver it to energy-hungry trade partners. This company holds the exclusive rights to mine this land. It owns a huge section of Mount Isa and every last ounce of uranium that resides underneath it.

Yet due to an outdated government regulation, this company hasn't beenable to
begin mining the uranium and shipping it out to China yet.

But all of that is about to change. In just a few moments I'll fill youin on all
the details as to why this government interference will soon be a thing
of the past in Australia, allowing this company to start cashing in on its vast
uranium supply.

When this company does start its uranium production it will get a large
share of the $710 million up for grabs.

If you're one of the savvy investors who reads this Report and follows
the advice contained within it, a small fortune could end up in your pocket if you
act fast enough.

The new generation of 'Nuclear Age Millionaires' will soon be upon us.
If you care to join them, then there are a few things you'll need to know.

Nuclear Power Lives Again

Nuclear power had long been thought dead thanks to highly publicized
reactor meltdowns and safety incidents at Pennsylvania's Three Mile Island plant
in 1979 and the Ukraine's Chernobyl plant in 1986.

'Nuclear power didn't go away. Instead it got better.'
-- The Boston Globe

Most experts believed that the amount of negative publicity and public
health concerns these accidents generated would be impossible for the industry
to ever overcome.

20 years later, it appears they were dead wrong.

The world is entering into a new nuclear age. And uranium-rich companies
like Australia are going to become hotbeds of economic activity, with foreign
trading partners lining up looking to fill their quotas.

Industry insiders currently foresee a future where nuclear power
provides half of the world's electricity in the next 50 years.

In short, the world has moved on from these disasters and is once again
embracing the many benefits of nuclear power.

There is good reason to give nuclear power a fresh look. It candiversify our sources of energy with a fuel -- uranium -- that is both abundant andinexpensive. More important, nuclear energy can replace fossil-fuel power plants forgenerating electricity, reducing the carbon dioxide emissions that contributeheavily to global warming.'
-- The New York Times"

Now it's time for smart, profit-minded readers, like yourself, to do the
same.

But I understand that the memories of Chernobyl and Three Mile Island
are hard to overcome for many, so in order to fully accept that nuclear power is
once again the wave of the future, you'll need to know the reasons the world
is experiencing a nuclear resurrection.

Nuclear Spark #1: The Environment - Nuclear power is clean energy.Global warming is blamed in large part on the burning of fossil fuels in power plants,factories and cars. With nuclear energy, emissions are no longer an issue. Between 1995 and 2005, U.S. nuclear generation avoided the emission of 41.0 million tons of sulfur dioxide, 16.9 million tons of nitrogen oxide, and 7.3 billion tons of carbon dioxide. (The Nuclear Energy Institute).

And on top of that, the amount of waste produced by nuclear energy is
far below any other viable energy source on the planet. The high-level waste
currently produced by all U.S. nuclear power plants used as fuel rods totals about
2,000 tons per year, compared to over 40 million tons of hazardous waste
produced by the United States each year (The Nuclear Energy Institute). As you can
see, when it comes to environmental benefits, there's no comparison. These
benefits even prompted President Bush to recently comment 'Of all our nation's energysources, only nuclear power plants can generate massive amounts of electricitywithout emitting an ounce of air pollution or greenhouse gases.'

Nuclear Spark #2: The Safety - Reuters said it best in a recent article
on nuclear resurgence, 'The safety record of the nuclear industry since Chernobyl
has been very good. Predictions of a major incident every 10 years have simply
proved incorrect.' The nuclear industry has stayed ultra vigilant since theChernobyl
accident, and has had 20 years to perfect its safety systems and developnew
safety technologies so that similar incidents will not occur again.

'Advances in reactor designs . . . make another Three Mile Island highly
unlikely. The safety record, the improvements in efficiency -- and the nation's
insatiable demand for energy -- argue for a push for more nuclear power.'
-- The Chicago Tribune

Nuclear scientists and planners have realized that Chernobyl was aflawed plant design and have since abandoned anything remotely resembling it whenconstructing new plants. And even the Three Mile Island accident, America's worstnuclear disaster, didn't kill or injure a single person, and that was with30-year-old technology in place.

In fact, there are over 10,000 civilian power reactor years of
experience throughout the world, and Chernobyl is the only nuclear power plant accidentharming the public. The U.S. Navy has been powering ships with nuclear reactors for50 years and has had no nuclear accidents. Safety is paramount to the industry,and its track record speaks for itself.

Nuclear Spark #3: The Economy - Since 2001, nuclear power plants have
achieved the lowest production costs between coal, natural gas and oil. Nuclear
energy isn't subject to rising fuel prices, testy foreign political situations,
natural disasters or price gouging.

If you compare nuclear power to the other major energy sources, the
numbers are astounding. One uranium fuel pellet, no bigger than a dime, equals out
to 17,000 cubic feet of natural gas, 1,780 pounds of coal, or 149 gallons of oil.

Nuclear Spark #4: The Politics - Just about every sensible country is
dying to climb out from under the thumb of foreign oil-producing nations,
especially terrorist-harboring Middle Eastern states. Nuclear Energy allows these
countries to do just that, without having to sacrifice their energy needs or take
a chance on an unproven alternative energy.

'We see a convergence of powerful economic and political forces . . .
that should lead to a renaissance of nuclear power.'
-- Prudential Equity Group, LLC

Uranium is located throughout the world, not only in Australia, but
Canada, the United States and South Africa. The supply at this point is almost
limitless. New uranium deposits are being discovered daily, so unlike the global oil
shortage the world is currently experiencing, uranium and nuclear power is in no
danger of running dry.

If we never discovered another ounce of uranium for the rest of time,the amount we currently have available would power the world for the next 70 years.The fact is, nuclear power is the world's best bet to free itself from itsunhealthy oil addiction, something that world leaders would love to be able to saythey achieved on their watch!

The overall benefits to nuclear power are startling. It's clean, cheap,
safe and allows the world to eliminate oil trade partnerships with
terrorist-sponsoring governments. It's for all these reasons that nuclear power is back in abig way.

'There's a 'nuclear renaissance' buzz emitting from engineers who design
and operate reactors, think tank academics who worry about long-range energy
and environmental strategies, utility company executives, top members of the
Bush administration and members of Congress.'
-- National Geographic



The investment potential in this burgeoning industry is off the charts.If you know where to put your money and when to do it, you'll almost certainly be inline for some massive gains. Once the shift to nuclear power begins full force,the profits will continue to roll in.

The small Australian company I told you about earlier, currently trading
for only $1.20, will be among the biggest winners. With Australia's newly signed
uranium partnership with China, this company's value is set to explode 1,084%
within the next 12 months alone.

This company would be a great buy as high as $20 a share. But it sits atonly $1.30. With a price that low, the room for growth practically takes your breathaway. And if you think my prediction of a 1,084% gain in the next 12 monthsisn't realistic, then take a look at what some other uranium mining companieshave produced recently.

Western Prospector Group shocked the world with 6,100% in the last 2
years...


UEX Corporation delivered investors 4,900% in 3 years...


International Uranium shot up 2,600% since 2003...


Cameco Corp. returned 1,030% since 2002...


Strathmore Minerals went up 2,850% in the past 3 years...


Frontier Development Group took off to the tune of 1,400% since 2004.




Mining the Next Wave of Uranium Profits

In just the last four years, Uranium's demand and price have increased
massively.

In 2002, the price of a pound of uranium sat at $6 -- today it's shot up
to $45.

Current global demand is at 160 million pounds per year, and that's
before China entered into its agreement with Australia.

There are 440 active nuclear power reactors throughout the world, all
running off of uranium, and more are being planned. China alone is building 40.

'The industry is expected to burgeon in Asia in the next quarter
century. China, on top of its headlong rush to build coal-burning plants, also has
ambitious plans for new reactors: It can get 6,600 megawatts of power now from nine
reactors. It's aiming for 40,000 megawatts.'
-- National Geographic"

Quite simply, the global demand for uranium is hotter than the nuclear
reactors it's being fed into. And that's great news for investors who know the
right way to play this situation.

The small Australian mining company that owns the land off Queensland's
Mount Isa, underneath which lies 75 million pounds of uranium, is in the prime
position of having control of one of the largest deposits in the world.

Now that Australia is responsible for supplying China with the resources
needed to fuel its nuclear power program, uranium miners will be working
overtime in order to fill all the orders. This company will have more money thrown
at it than it knows what to do with.

Now I have to tell you, some people think I'm actually being
conservative with my projections, especially given the resources this company has under its control and the unprecedented demand it's going to receive once it begins mining Mount Isa.

The reality is, you could make even more than a 1,084% return. UEX Corp.
delivered 4,900% to its investors and International Uranium hauled in
2,600%. Clearly these same kinds of gains are in this company's future when you
look at the cold hard facts of its situation.

The truth is, this company is going to make investors a ton of money,
and in a very short time at that. The new generation of 'Nuclear Age
Millionaires' will be forged in the mines of Mount Isa in Queensland.

Get the name of this explosive stock!
http://www.agoravip.com/t/231849/690800/3804/79/

Thursday, August 03, 2006

I-Buys

Just a heads-up here, for the first time in a long time, Insider-Buys are coming fast and furious, and more importantly, seem to be working more consistenly then they have in many moons. HTCH a huge winner today, along with a few others. Could bode well for general market a few steps down the road.

A

Wednesday, August 02, 2006

Do I Have To Do All The Work Around Here?

OK, gang, here's another mystery-hype-company, being hyped right now in order to sell a $1,000/year subscription to a newsletter named, "Extreme Value".

Below is the complete hype e-mail. The first of you readers who correctly identifies the stock gets his or her name published under the Comments section of this Blog. If no one identifies the stock in question by tomorrow morning, I'll reveal it myself....right after establishing my core position in it. Good Luck.

A

------------------------------------------------------------
August 01, 2006


Dear Reader,
I just learned about a major oil discovery in Los Angeles.

According to the Los Angeles Times, over 680 MILLION barrels of oil are hidden beneath La Cienega Boulevard – right in the middle of downtown L.A.

My colleague Dan Ferris flew out there recently to learn the full details behind this unusual situation…

What he learned surprised me. According to Dan, one tiny oil driller owns all the rights to this discovery and has already begun full-scale drilling. The profit potential could be staggering.

See below for Dan’s full report from Los Angeles…

Good investing,

Porter Stansberry
Founder, S&A Investment Research




============================


Secret Los Angeles Oil Discovery to Be Drilled This Month

The Los Angeles Times reports close to 200 MILLION
barrels of oil could be hidden beneath 900 acres of
land off La Cienega Boulevard in downtown Los Angeles.

One tiny oil driller will apply an underground
“X-ray” to locate it. Extraction has already begun…
and could return as much as 350%.


Dear Reader,
I recently spent $30,000 for my research team and I to attend a private meeting in Los Angeles.

It was held at a nondescript hotel near the airport, in a conference room where a handful of the country’s top investment managers gathered to discuss one thing:

A Secret Los Angeles oil discovery.

One of the men at this meeting was Jim Robbins – founder of a $3.5 billion hedge fund. A $10,000 investment in Robbins’s fund when it first began 11 years ago is worth over $153,000 today.

What Robbins revealed to me at the meeting were the full details behind an unusual situation. Not even The New York Times or The Wall Street Journal has written about it…

But the truth is, what I’m about to describe to you is one of the single biggest oil discoveries of the past 82 years.

And it’s located in Downtown L.A.

Here, hidden beneath 900 acres of land off La Cienega Boulevard, is an oil field so deep it produces enough crude oil to fill the tanks of 5,500 SUVs every day – based on a recent estimate reported in The Los Angeles Times.

In all, there’s 688 MILLION barrels of oil. Untapped. Right in the middle of downtown Los Angeles.

If you happen to live or work in Los Angeles, you may have already heard about this unusual situation…

But what you may not know is that one small oil-drilling company owns all the rights to this field, including the “X-ray”-style 3D technology that now makes it possible to extract about 200 million barrels successfully.

Full-scale drilling has now begun beyond the shallow test zones and into the deeper oil (already yielding 6,900 barrels of crude oil a day).

Bottom-line: One of the biggest secret oil discoveries in California is about to make a tiny oil-drilling company very big, very fast.

If the company extracts just one-third of the potential oil in the ground, its total revenue should expand by a factor of 18 – making it a multibillion-dollar outfit.

If you’re a shareholder when the full story hits the mainstream press over the next few months, you could make a fortune…

In this report, I’ll tell you everything I learned about the Los Angeles oil discovery at the private meeting I attended… and how a small stake today could easily make you 350% gains…


Los Angeles’s Secret Oil Supply

Los Angeles’s secret oil supply is located ten miles southwest of the Hollywood sign, between La Brea Avenue and La Cienega Boulevard…
Here – as The Los Angeles Times reports – a “passing motorist might think they've passed through a time warp and hyper-spaced into rural Oklahoma, circa 1920.”

Across 900 acres of urban land, hundreds of rocking-arm pumps raise and dip their heads like giant pecking birds. 6,900 barrels of oil a day are sucked from the ground using water injection, then piped out.

Known as the “La Pantano,” it’s one of only thirteen oil fields discovered along the Newport-Inglewood Structural Zone, a region so rich in oil it has produced over 3.4 BILLION barrels in the last century.

In fact, when it was first uncovered in 1924 during the Los Angeles oil boom, one of every five barrels of oil in the world came from this region…

That’s why oil companies have been testing, exploring, and drilling La Pantano ever since. But only a third of its total oil supply has been extracted (350 million barrels), and most of that soon after the initial discovery.

That means for 82 years now, one of the biggest oil deposits in California has gone untapped. A fortune in oil royalties has been stuck underground for all that time…

How is this possible?




Downtown Los Angeles holds the last deep oil reserve in California – the “La Pantano”: an untapped 82-year-old petroleum fortune.

Because La Pantano lies along one of the most complex geological faultlines in California – a series of folds and faults so knotted it has become a major subject for scientific studies.

A 1989 study in California Geology put it this way: “The surface topography in the Newport-Inglewood fault zone are structural traps for proven oil fields.”

Hard sand, combined with difficult geological features known as anticlines, trending surface features, and lateral strike-slip faults, has created an uneven layer of oil deposits that, for 82 years, reduced drilling to a matter of guesswork.

Today, that’s all about to change…

An “X-ray” drilling technology has recently allowed one small oil driller to map 21 square miles of the underground oil deposits at La Pantano…

And not only does it own all the exclusive data and drilling technology necessary to get the oil out, it also owns 100% rights to the field…

Put simply: One of the oldest, biggest oil deposits in America is about to get sucked from the ground – making one small company a GIANT.

Full-scale drilling is already underway…


How an Underground Oil
“X-ray” May Make You 350%

The drilling technology that makes this oil extraction possible – 3D seismology – is like an X-ray machine that lets you see into the earth…
It shows you exactly where to drill, how deep to drill, and which places to avoid. You eliminate all guesswork.

With 3D seismology, you consult your computer-generated map, guide in the drill, inject water and suck out the oil. That’s all it takes. It sounds easy, and it is. The only difficulty is that it takes time to gather 3D seismic data.

The oil-drilling company I’m telling you about has spent the past 15 years gathering seismic data, ever since it first acquired La Pantano in 1990.

It now owns enough seismic data to drill 21 square miles of the oil field. That’s why total test production at La Pantano has jumped over 200% in just the last two years.





And that’s only the beginning…
In the last six months alone, 27 new wells have been added…

That means starting today, the amount of oil being drilled should begin to increase… an increase that should continue exponentially as each new well taps into the 200 MILLION barrels of oil estimated to be underground.

At today’s oil prices, imagine what the value of almost 200 MILLION barrels will do to this little company’s stock price.

So far this company’s drilling projects have made its investors 350%.

Here’s why I think you’ll do even better than that…


Underground Oil “X-ray” Helps to
Turn $5,000 Stake into $18,000

Finding the oil in La Pantano using the 3D “X-ray” technology should prove to be four times more successful than traditional exploration.
As a recent study in Forbes magazine reports: “3D seismic imaging does such an effective job of pinpointing hidden reserves of oil that it can boost the success rate for drilling from 20% to 80%.”

In fact, the U.S. Government reports of this amazing technology: “3D seismic will reduce the worldwide cost of finding new oil reserves by 47%.”

For the tiny oil driller I’m telling you about, this technology could create an opportunity to boost profit potential by about 50%, and generate huge returns at La Pantano as field-wide deep-drilling continues…





That’s because after 15 years of gathering 3D seismic data, it has mapped a total of 21 square miles of La Pantano’s underground oil deposits – and can pinpoint exactly where the most massive oil pockets are located.

It has the exclusive ability to remove and sell that oil immediately, and do so at a faster and more effective rate than previous attempts at removing La Pantano oil.

And according to a study in Oil & Gas Report, “3D [seismic] has established a proven improvement factor in the 25-30% range in return on investment.”

Just consider how other oil exploration and drilling companies have performed after using 3D seismic technology…

Parallel Petroleum rose 900%.
Surge Global Energy rose 700%.
Aurora Oil & Gas (up 300%) and Brigham Exploration Company (up 460%) have also “X-rayed” their oil deposits using 3D seismic technology.
What it boils down to is this: In the oil-drilling business, 3D seismic data gives you the best possible chance that you’ll strike oil and remove it from the ground. And at La Pantano, the only oil company who owns the seismic data necessary to tap into an 82-year-old oil fortune is the tiny driller I’ve been telling you about…
If you’re looking for a great low-risk oil play, this is about as close as you’ll get.

You see, the amazing thing about this situation is that you could make money on this company even if it never drilled a single barrel of oil, and even if the price of oil drops by 50% overnight. Sounds impossible, I know, so let me explain…


How to Double Your Money No Matter
What Happens to Oil

When I first learned about the La Pantano discovery, I was impressed with the oil potential. But what really amazed me, upon further research, was learning that even in a worst-case scenario, you should still double your money, simply by holding this stock.
In other words: The company could theoretically go bankrupt – and you would still make a killing by owning shares.

How is this possible?

Well, the truth is, the La Pantano oil driller I’ve been telling you about isn’t just another typical “oil play”…

This company is what I call an “Extreme Value” play, because the assets it holds are currently worth considerably more than the share price.

This means you can make this investment with essentially no risk.

Even in the worst-case scenario… where the company is forced to sell off everything it owns… or the price of oil drops in half overnight… you still make money. Let me show you:

The company owns 5,304 acres of land in southern California – valued by the stock market at $315 million today. That works out to about $59,000 an acre for prime real estate in one of the most densely populated areas in the country.

Housing development lots in this area alone should sell for as much as $500,000 per acre over the next few years – almost ten times that amount.

Now consider the oil this company owns:

Outside La Pantano, the oil-driller is sitting on a proven oil reserve of 356 million barrels. How much is that worth? Well, even if oil drops to half its current price… and sells for $35 a barrel… that still amounts to $9.4 BILLION, almost THREE TIMES the total value for this entire company on the stock market.

Now do you see why the La Pantano oil-driller is an “Extreme Value” stock?

Believe me, it takes a lot of work to determine the underlying prices and total amount of all of these assets.

But I believe this is the only way to ever invest in a stock.

And it’s the only proven way to really get rich in the stock market. The “value” strategy has been used by the most well-known, super-successful investors in the world… including Warren Buffett of Berkshire Hathaway (the second-richest man in the world, according to Forbes) and the late William Ruane ($10,000 in his Sequoia Fund at inception would be worth $1.7 million today).

I’ve been using this strategy for the past 10 years to find the absolute best, safest, most overlooked “value” investment situations in the world, for a small group of in-the-know investors…

My name is Dan Ferris.

I’m the Editor of Extreme Value, an investment advisory published by Stansberry & Associates Investment Research.

Extreme Value focuses on finding the safest, cheapest stocks in the market – “value” investment situations, like the oil driller at La Pantano I’ve been telling you about.

If you would like to learn more about this situation, I’ll send you a detailed Research Report I’ve prepared, called The Los Angeles Oil Discovery, free of charge.

If you’ve never heard of the “value” strategy before, I’m not surprised. Most people haven’t…

But in the 10 years I’ve spent in the financial advisory industry, I have never seen another investment strategy work so consistently… and bring such outstanding gains. Nor have I seen any strategy that offers you such a huge margin of safety.
Let me show you an example…

A few years ago, I flew to the island of Maui, rented a car, and toured 37,000 acres of sugarcane fields owned by a company called Alexander & Baldwin.

I was led there by John Moxie, the company’s Vice President of Farming Operations. He showed me each stage of the sugarcane growing process…

Then I went to the Maui County Real Property Assessment Division in the Maui Mall – where I found 242 tax records filed under Alexander & Baldwin’s name.

Why is that important? Because I discovered that the real assets owned by the company were selling on the stock market for a fraction of what they really cost.

Specifically: The company owns 90,600 acres of Hawaiian land, most of it on the islands of Maui and Kauai. But I discovered that almost all of it is carried on the company’s books at its original average cost of just $150 an acre. Today, some of that land is worth in excess of $1 million per acre…

I immediately recommended this rarely publicized company to my group of Extreme Value readers…

Since then (as of July 2006), the stock is up 115%, with a long way to go, in my opinion.

It’s because of situations like this that our Extreme Value portfolio has delivered a 1,464% total return over the past four years – turning every $5,000 stake into $73,200… with very little risk.

And it’s also why not a single one of our 21 current Extreme Value stocks has gone down in value. Not one penny. In fact, our average gain is more than 32.9%.

I began my career in the investment business in 1997, doing financial research for one of the largest investment research publishers in the world, with subscribers in over 127 different countries.

In all that time, I’ve learned that nothing works like the “value” strategy.

Simply put: When you buy these kinds of investments, you’re buying the safest and most profitable stocks in the entire market.

This was proven in several studies – most notably in a 1992 study in The Journal of Finance, the most respected journal in its field.

The study was done by two well-known economists, Ken French and Eugene Fama (nominated for a Nobel Prize in Economics), who studied the prices and performance of every stock on the NYSE, the American Stock Exchange, and the Nasdaq from mid-1963 through 1990.

What they found was incredible…

The economists discovered that the cheapest 10% of stocks – “value” stocks that trade at a discount to their total assets – returned an average of 21.4% each year, for over 24 years.

This study also found that these kind of safe, cheap stocks brought 189% higher returns per year than the markets – performing especially well during bear markets. Riskier, more expensive “growth” stocks, in the same time period, returned just 8%.

This proved that Value Stocks – the cheapest 10% of all stocks – make the most money in the stock market. Take a look:





But these two well-known economists weren’t the only researchers who studied why this investment strategy has been so successful…
Forbes magazine has investigated it as well, reporting that: “Since 1965, [value stocks] have appreciated 13,315%, versus an increase of 767% for the Dow Jones industrial average.”

Now do you see why I spend so much time and money traveling, researching, and talking with company insiders to learn about these situations?

Let me show you how I put the “Extreme Value” strategy to use, so you can see if it’s right for you…


How to Beat the Stock Market by 189%

As of this writing (July 2006), there are 21 recommendations in our Extreme Value portfolio… and every single one of them is showing a gain.
Our average gain: 32.9%.

That means if you had bought just 100 shares of each of our recommended stocks since we first began Extreme Value four years ago, today your holdings would be worth $256,485.74.

If you had bought 500 shares each, your Extreme Value portfolio would be worth $1,282,428.68 today.

But I have a confession…

Unlike most financial analysts, I don’t discover the stocks I recommend by sitting behind a computer all day…

Instead, to uncover the best, most overlooked value situations available, I travel all over the country – to places like Massachusetts, New York, Virginia, Delaware, Washington state, Idaho, Oregon, California, Arizona, Texas, Louisiana, Florida, Bermuda, and Canada.

I meet with company insiders and executives… interviewing them over lunch or dinner, sometimes, to learn as much information as I can.

For example, during a trip to California, I once spoke with the President and CEO of one of the leading power companies in the world.

I pay over $250,000 for a private research team… spend hours poring over tax documents in nondescript offices… and days at a time in hotel rooms, sitting at my laptop and going through a company’s financial statements one by one.

If you think this kind of ground-level, hands-on research is a little extreme, I admit it: Maybe it is. But the fact is, it takes hard work to track down rare and incredible investment opportunities – I live out of my suitcase some weeks. So far, however, our approach has been really paying off (gains as of July 2006)…

For example, I once spent an entire week reviewing Federal documents from Washington, D.C. for 2,901 different companies. And I discovered a “mutual fund” called KHD Humboldt Wedag, which owns a royalty interest in a massive, undervalued iron-ore mine in Newfoundland. I then learned that Forbes-listed billionaire and company insider Peter Kellogg was loading up on shares of this company’s stock…
Today, readers who followed my recommendation to buy KHD Humboldt Wedag have seen gains of 184.6%.

That same week, after meeting with the manager of an exclusive asset management firm focused on high-net worth individuals, I found another value situation – a company called American Real Estate Partners, which owns a chain of hotels and resorts.
So far, my readers have seen gains of 131.6% on this company.

A month later, by gaining access to a restricted mutual fund run by one of the most recognized managers in the world, we found a company called EnCana Corp., which owns over 25 million acres of oil-rich land selling at $30 less per share than what the stock was actually worth.
I wrote to my Extreme Value readers about this oil-drilling company, and those who followed my advice to buy have made gains of 153.4%.

Our Extreme Value strategy works for one reason:
When you buy these kinds of investments, you’re buying the safest, cheapest stocks in the entire market. Every investment has a built in safety net – because the assets the company owns are worth more than the stock price!

Even if the company goes bankrupt, in other words, you would still make a killing as bottom-line assets are sold off and the market corrects itself…

Let me tell you about another extreme-valued opportunity I’ve uncovered… It’s probably the single best place to put your money for the next 10 years…


“World’s Greatest Hedge Fund”
Now Accepting New Investors

Most investors know about the greatest Extreme Value investment in the world.
It has made ordinary people millionaires, many times over. And it’s actually as cheap today as it’s been in years.

A fellow named David Murphy, for example, who’s a lawyer, borrowed $5,000 from his mother-in-law to make a single investment in what I call “the World’s Greatest Hedge Fund.”

“Most lawyers die at their desks,” Murphy says. “I could quit when I was 55 because of [this investment].”

It may sound hard to believe that you could, literally, be set for life just by making one single investment. But as Money magazine reports: “[This investment] has made millionaires out of hundreds of investors…”

For example, Daniel and Mary Jane Owen began with an investment of around $50,000. When they passed away, they left behind an estate worth $800 million – almost all of it generated from this one single investment.

Roger Samuelson was an early investor, too. He bought in at $1,200. Since then, the dollar return on his investment is $69,300 – a 5,675% gain.

Now do you see why I call this investment the “World’s Greatest Hedge Fund”?

When you invest, you own profitable interests in both public and private companies, commodities, stocks, bonds, corporate debt, currencies, banks, building products, consumer staples, energy, utilities, and real estate – with just one single investment.

All of the assets in the portfolio have one thing in common: They are bought at Extreme Value prices. So you get a huge margin of safety… and tremendous upside potential.

Renowned financial journal Kiplinger’s says of this investment: “a portfolio that has stood the test of time… better by a mile than any mutual fund.”

If you decide to invest, you’ll see that – unlike real hedge funds you may have heard about – this investment vehicle is one of the safest around… and by far one of the most profitable.

Peter Lynch, former manager of the famous Fidelity Magellan Fund, says of the “World’s Greatest Hedge Fund”:

“If you bought the S&P 500 in WWII, you’ve made 54 times your money. [This investment] has beaten the hell out of the stock market.”

Just consider the last five years…

The “World’s Greatest Hedge Fund” has made 14 times better gains than the Dow in the same time frame.

And when you look at how this investment has performed over the long term, you’ll see why it’s made so many people into millionaires…





In the last 10 years, this investment returned 321% gains to its investors.
And over the last 20 years, it’s returned an astonishing 947%.

In any market – short or longterm – it’s hard to find stable, superior returns like that in just one single investment.

The odds are that no single stock will ever pay you even a fraction of what you’ll get over the next few years from this particular investment.

And while this investment doesn’t come cheap, I can almost guarantee you won’t find any stock that goes on making you money, year after year, for over 20 years, as the “World’s Greatest Hedge Fund” has done.

In fact, I’ve never seen any investment that’s as safe, steady, and super-profitable…
The best part is, you can buy shares with just one call or click to your broker… right on the regular U.S. exchanges. That’s what makes this one of the most obvious “no-brainer” investments I’ve ever come across in my career.

There’s simply no way you could get this kind of long-term performance – and this kind of outstanding money management – from any other investment in your entire investment career.

That’s why – if you want to make a lot of money with just one single investment – I strongly recommend you take a look at the “World’s Greatest Hedge Fund.”

If you like the sound of this investment, all the details you’ll need to know are in a new Research Report I’ve published called The “World’s Greatest Hedge Fund.”

You can receive this new research free of charge when you give my Extreme Value advisory a no-risk trial today. That’s in addition to my report, The Los Angeles Oil Discovery, which I mentioned earlier.

But before you read any further… before you even consider a trial subscription to Extreme Value… let me point something out…


Please Be Advised:

Extreme Value may not be right for you.
It’s not for the average investor.

In fact, it’s not for most investors… Extreme Value is designed for a small group of people who are interested in putting their investment money into unheard-of companies often involved in “boring” industries.

In the majority of cases, that means putting your money into a company your broker may not know about… with little-to-no coverage on Wall Street… and then forgetting about it for months at a time…

That’s why my Extreme Value readers tend to be hands-off, patient investors who want to invest for the long term… and expect staggering returns as a result.

For example: Back in 2002, I wrote to my readers about a small Pennsylvania-based company called Blair, that sells women’s apparel. Nobody had ever heard of it… But I was able to determine that Blair offered one of the best discounted stocks on the market…

Readers who held their nose and bought shares of this “boring” company more than doubled their money, for a 110.6% gain.

Here’s another example: Our research team traveled to Florida and toured hundreds of acres of timberland owned by a company called Consolidated Tomoka. All told, it owns a total of 250,000 acres of trees, worth three times more than what it was selling for.

I wrote to my readers about this company immediately, saying: “The worst you can do is double your money.” We were right. Since we added it to our Extreme Value portfolio, the stock is up 98%.

What I’m trying to say is, if you’re looking for the “next hot trend” or hot new technology, I can tell you right now: Extreme Value is not for you.

That said, the companies I add to the Extreme Value portfolio all have one thing in common: If you get in early, they should all double or even triple your money – with extremely low risk.

But how can you be sure Extreme Value is right for you? Here’s what I propose…


3 Months, 100% No Risk

You wouldn’t consider buying a new car without a test drive, would you?
It’s my opinion the same should hold true for investment research – especially for Extreme Value, one of our more elite investment services.

That’s why if you’re interested in becoming a member, I’d like to let you try it out first – risk-free – for three months.

That means you can learn all the details about the Los Angeles oil discovery and the “World’s Greatest Hedge Fund,” and still have a total of three months to decide whether or not you’d like to remain a member of our Extreme Value group.

If you decide that Extreme Value is not for you, simply contact us by phone, e-mail, or regular mail, and you’ll receive a full refund, no questions asked.

Even if you wait until the very last day of your three-month trial to cancel, you’ll still receive 100% of your money back if you’re not happy with our research. And my Research Reports are yours to keep, and use, as you please.

For that matter, once your three-month trial period is over, you can still receive a refund on the unused portion of your subscription if you’re unhappy.

I think that’s only fair.


How to Make $293,400… In Just 4 Years

If you had put a $20,000 stake four years ago when Extreme Value first began into each of our recommended stocks, today you’d have a profit of $293,400.
That’s a 1,467% total return… in just 4 years.

If that surprises you, just consider what some of my long-time readers have written to me over the years…

Paul Dickson, a 78-year-old doctor (still practicing) from Philadelphia, recently told me: “Your recommended extreme valued investments have helped to almost double my holdings in the past 2 ½ years, from $500,000 to $950,000.”

Reader Wesley Calleran from Ohio writes: “I have probably achieved gains of about $250,000 on your investment recommendations. As a group, these investments have about doubled during that time period.”

“I am extremely happy with the lack of risk and the high performance of your selections,” adds reader Bill Benning, from Texas. “I frankly would not have believed such a good newsletter was available.”

So how much does a one-year subscription to Extreme Value cost?

Before I tell you, let me make something clear…

As part of my research, I subscribe to 23 different publications and services – including The Wall Street Journal… Barron’s… Grant’s… SmartMoney… Outstanding Investor Digest… Los Angeles Business Journal… Technology Review… Value Investor Insight… Fortune… Forbes… Schiff’s Insurance Observer… and Spin-off Advisors’ Spin-off Research…

You name it, I probably read it.

It costs me $26,000 a year for all this material.

I spend even more attending private investment conferences – such as Grant’s Interest Rate Observer… Schiff’s Insurance Observer… and the Value Investing Congress, to name a few.

I fly all over the country… When I wanted to research alternative energy a while back, I visited research labs and company headquarters all over the Northwest… in Washington, Oregon, Idaho, and California…

I meet with people like David Schiff… the smartest financial detective in the insurance business… and Mohnish Pabrai, a well-known fund manager who has been compared to Warren Buffett by Forbes magazine… (Pabrai reads Extreme Value every month).

And that’s only the beginning of what it takes to track down the Extreme Value investment situations I uncover…

When I’m home, I shut myself in the office for sixteen-hour stretches, going through stacks and stacks of the inside information I’ve collected…

How many people keep four copies of Ben Graham’s Security Analysis handy? I have the 1934, 1940, 1951, and 1988 editions. I also have two editions of Graham’s Intelligent Investor.

Of course, all this research is what makes my job exciting…

…but also very expensive, month after month, and year after year.

So Extreme Value isn’t cheap. But then, this isn’t just another $99 newsletter written by a stock-picker who sits behind his computer clicking a mouse all day…

If that’s what you’re looking for, I’ll tell you again: Extreme Value may not be right for you. We’re only interested in the kind of little-known investment opportunities you’ll never hear about anywhere else… companies that could literally help you put your kid through college, or buy a getaway vacation home.

And as you might expect… finding those companies is why I spend so much time and energy in my research.

Extreme Value costs $1,000 for one full year. No discounts. No price breaks.

Is the price worth it? I think so… especially considering that a small $200 investment in the oil driller at La Pantano could – by itself – pay for your entire subscription…

Think of it this way: Investors pay hedge fund managers tens of thousands of dollars to get a 15% to 20% return in a year.

You can pay a fraction of that amount – and get recommendations that return, on average, more than 50%.

Mohnish Pabrai, an investment manager whose fund has grown from $1 million to $218 million in 6 years and who was featured in Forbes magazine as having out-performed Warren Buffett for four straight years, says:

“I read Extreme Value every month. It's one of the best value-oriented
advisories I receive.”
When you give Extreme Value a no-risk trial today, here’s what you’ll receive:
12 Monthly Extreme Value Newsletter reports on the single most outstanding value investment opportunity available, delivered on the second Friday of each month. You’ll receive a copy first by e-mail, then by regular mail too.

Research Report #1: The Los Angeles Oil Discovery

Research Report #2: The “World’s Greatest Hedge Fund”

Regular e-mail updates on our investment portfolio.

Instant online access to our full 3-year archive of research – where you’ll learn all the details on 14 super-safe and potentially very lucrative Extreme Value stocks I still consider a Strong Buy.

And remember, to give you enough time to decide whether or not Extreme Value is right for you, I’ll give you three (3) months to try it out on your own… You’ll have my Research Reports… complete portfolio… archive… and latest issues to help you make your decision.

I encourage you to get started today. Oil drilling at La Pantano has already begun, and I think it’s only a matter of weeks before Wall Street picks up on this situation…

To order, simply click here.

Sincerely,

Dan Ferris