Monday, April 30, 2007

Back to Work

ROY was recommended here at about $5.00 back in November. Today it's breaking out, up just under 10% at $7.25.

Sometimes it's best to just buy these little gems and then tuck them away, looking at them only sporadically, lest you try to trade them, or worse, "Say something stupid, like 'I love you'."


Friday, April 27, 2007

If This is Goodbye

My famous last words
Are laying around in tatters
Sounding absurd
Whatever I try
But I love you
And that's all that really matters
If this is goodbye
If this is goodbye

Your bright shining sun
Would light up the way before me
You were the one
Made me feel I could fly
And I love you
Whatever is waiting for me
If this is goodbye
If this is goodbye

Who knows how long we've got
Or what were made out of
Who knows if there's a plan or not
There is our love
I know there is our love

My famous last words
Could never tell the story
Spinning unheard
In the dark of the sky
But I love you
And this is our glory
If this is goodbye
If this is goodbye


Tuesday, April 24, 2007

Time of No Reply

I never felt magic crazy as this
I never saw moons knew the meaning of the sea
I never held emotion in the palm of my hand
Or felt sweet breezes in the top of a tree
But now you're here
Brighten my northern sky.

Toss me a cigarette, I think there's one in my raincoat
We smoked the last one an hour ago
So I looked at the scenery, she read her magazine
And the moon rose over an open field

Kathy, I'm lost, I said, though I knew she was sleeping
I'm empty and aching and I don't know why

Now the things that I remember seem so distant and so small
Though it hasn’t really been that long a time
What I was seeing wasn’t what was happening at all
Although for a while, our path did seem to climb
But when you see through love’s illusions, there lies the danger
And your perfect lover just looks like a perfect fool
So you go running off in search of a perfect stranger
While the loneliness seems to spring from your life
Like a fountain from a pool

I loved you in the morning, our kisses deep and warm,
your hair upon the pillow like a sleepy golden storm,
yes, many loved before us, I know that we are not new,
in city and in forest they smiled like me and you,
but now it's come to distances and both of us must try,
your eyes are soft with sorrow,
Hey, that's no way to say goodbye.
I'm not looking for another as I wander in my time,
walk me to the corner, our steps will always rhyme
you know my love goes with you as your love stays with me,
it's just the way it changes, like the shoreline and the sea,
but let's not talk of love or chains and things we can't untie,
your eyes are soft with sorrow,
Hey, that's no way to say goodbye.

Summer was gone and the heat died down
And Autumn reached for her golden crown
I looked behind as I heard a sigh
But this was the time of no reply.

The sun went down and the crowd went home
I was left by the roadside all alone
I turned to speak as they went by
But this was the time of no reply.

The time of no reply is calling me to stay
There is no hello and no goodbye
To leave there is no way.

The trees on the hill had nothing to say
They would keep their dreams till another day
So they stood and thought and wondered why
For this was the time of no reply.

Time goes by from year to year
And no one asks why I am standing here
But I have my answer as I look to the sky
This is the time of no reply.

The time of no reply is calling me to stay
There`s no hello and no goodbye
To leave there is no way.

Monday, April 23, 2007

Jim Cramer v. The Market

So Cramer doesn't want to make friends (except maybe Erin Burnett) he just wants to make you money. Not just money, he wants to make you rich. Ok, here's my irregular update on Cramer's effectiveness as a stock picker:


S&P 500 = +4.66%

Russell 2000 Index = +5.11%

Jim Cramer's Action Alerts ($400/year service) = +3.87%

Since Inception - January, 2002

S&P 500 = +29.27%

Jim Cramer's Action Alerts = +32.78%

Monday, April 16, 2007

Xyber9 Software

I have been asked about Robert Taylor's offering of Xyber9 software in terms of whether or not I intend to acquire a copy. Xyber9 is the software program that generates the weekly market forecasts that are available at the Taylor Trends web site.

After thinking long and hard about whether or not any market timing tool can be worth $20,000, my conclusion is yes, this is a tool that has the potential to be everything market timers need to trade the indexes. Insofar as I have made and lost many times that amount of money in my years of trying to "beat" the market and insofar as since I've been tracking the Xyber9 forecasts it has been right on the money on about four of every five short-term forecasts, I don't see how any serious market timer can pass on this opportunity.

I don't know if Mr. Taylor can reduce his methodology to a software program that is user friendly and as effective as his forecasts have been these past 10 months, but, if he can, the reward more then outweighs the risk here and I am willing to give him the benefit of the doubt.


Tuesday, April 10, 2007


In the past week or so, DNDN has popped over 300%. Yesterday, an old favorite AGEN popped 40%, and is up about 100% in the past week. NNVC is up about 60% since it appeared back on our radar screen a few weeks ago.

These are huge moves, all in the same sector.

Maybe time to pay special attention.


Thursday, April 05, 2007

Commodity ETF's

Exchange Traded Funds have just about exhausted themselves covering traditional stock market sectors and are now turning toward commodities as a source of new offerings. Examples of commodity funds are SLV (Silver), IAU (Gold) and GSCI (Commodity Indexed Trust).

Do these commodity ETF's offer some unique trading appeal, especially as diversification models as a tool for stock portfolio management?

I would like to find out, but first, I am in the process of assembling a comprehensive list of commodity-based ETF's or similar securities, with a special interest in any that also trade options. An example would be the VIX index, a stock market index that is based on volatility, not stocks, and offers liquid options as a trading vehicle.

If any of my readers are aware of any such commodity-based funds, with special emphasis on the availability of options for leverage, please share them with me under Comments to this thread. I will keep all of you updated on any progress I make in this new direction.


Wednesday, April 04, 2007


The Market seems to be slowing down in front of the Good Friday holiday, so here are some links of interest to pass some time:

A Uranium stock worth shorting? These analysts think so.

One of the very best trading books I've read in a long, long time: Trend Following.

The best service on the Internet for new stock ideas:

An unusual and unusually accurate market timing service: Taylor Trends.

All you need to know about Insider Buying: Sally.