My trading systems don't directly rely on accurately predicting general market direction, but it would be helpful, to say the least. I wrote a piece here on the novel Paradigm, by Robert Taylor. He also runs a web service that updates predictions from his market timing discoveries, here. This service called the rally into last Monday and the subsequent decline since then. Impressive.
The timing service used to be a fee-based service, but now is free to anyone who buys the book Paradigm from the website. Buy a book, get free (and so far impressive) market timing advice.
Maybe worth a shot.
A
Thursday, May 11, 2006
Wednesday, May 10, 2006
Three I-Buys of Note
Three after-hours I-Buys from last night (Tuesday):
IMCL - Carl Icahn bought $1.8M, adding to his 10% stake; what does he know?
NL - Harold Simmons bought $429K, adding to his 10% stake; what does he know?
VPHM - A Director bought $96K and stock is down over 50% in past three months, again, what does he know?
A
PS: I bought them all on the Open today (Wednesday).
IMCL - Carl Icahn bought $1.8M, adding to his 10% stake; what does he know?
NL - Harold Simmons bought $429K, adding to his 10% stake; what does he know?
VPHM - A Director bought $96K and stock is down over 50% in past three months, again, what does he know?
A
PS: I bought them all on the Open today (Wednesday).
Surprise
I bought Paul Simon's new CD last night, "Surprise." The final cut is a song called "Father and Daughter." Mine don't read this blog, so this is between you and me. Or not.
Father and Daughter
by Paul Simon
If you leap awake
In the mirror of a bad dream
And for a fraction of a second
You cant remember where you are
Just open your window
And follow your memory upstream
To the meadow in the mountain
Where we counted every falling star
I believe the light that shines on you
Will shine on you forever
And though I cant guarantee
Theres nothing scary hiding under your bed
I’m gonna stand guard
Like a postcard of a Golden Retriever
And never leave till I leave you
With a sweet dream in your head
Im gonna watch you shine
Gonna watch you grow
Gonna paint a sign
So youll always know
As long as one and one is two
There could never be a father
Who loved his daughter more than I love you
Trust your intuition
Its just like going fishing
You cast your line
And hope you get a bite
But you dont need to waste your time
Worrying about the market place
Try to help the human race
Struggling to survive its harshest night
Im gonna watch you shine
Gonna watch you grow
Gonna paint a sign
So youll always know
As long as one and one is two
There could never be a father
Who loved his daughter more than I love you
Im gonna watch you shine
Gonna watch you grow
Gonna paint a sign
So youll always know
As long as one and one is two
There could never be a father
Who loved his daughter more than I love you
Father and Daughter
by Paul Simon
If you leap awake
In the mirror of a bad dream
And for a fraction of a second
You cant remember where you are
Just open your window
And follow your memory upstream
To the meadow in the mountain
Where we counted every falling star
I believe the light that shines on you
Will shine on you forever
And though I cant guarantee
Theres nothing scary hiding under your bed
I’m gonna stand guard
Like a postcard of a Golden Retriever
And never leave till I leave you
With a sweet dream in your head
Im gonna watch you shine
Gonna watch you grow
Gonna paint a sign
So youll always know
As long as one and one is two
There could never be a father
Who loved his daughter more than I love you
Trust your intuition
Its just like going fishing
You cast your line
And hope you get a bite
But you dont need to waste your time
Worrying about the market place
Try to help the human race
Struggling to survive its harshest night
Im gonna watch you shine
Gonna watch you grow
Gonna paint a sign
So youll always know
As long as one and one is two
There could never be a father
Who loved his daughter more than I love you
Im gonna watch you shine
Gonna watch you grow
Gonna paint a sign
So youll always know
As long as one and one is two
There could never be a father
Who loved his daughter more than I love you
Monday, May 08, 2006
Thursday, May 04, 2006
CHID
I bought some CHID this morning, based on a nice write-up from Briefing.com. Essentially, they make component parts for mobile device makers in China, have real earnings, are growing at 140% per year and according to Briefing, a forward PE of just over 8.
At about a dollar a share, seems like a decent speculation on both cell phones and China, two hot sectors in this market.
A
At about a dollar a share, seems like a decent speculation on both cell phones and China, two hot sectors in this market.
A
Wednesday, May 03, 2006
PHRM
Sally just reported a Director I-Buy of $230K. But what she didn't report was a cluster of I-Buys from earlier this year, including the CEO and CFO. Here's a link to the recent Insider transactions in PHRM.
Noteworthy also is the fact that PHRM has no debt and $7.62/share in cash.
Needless to say, I'm in PHRM today, maybe longer.
A
Noteworthy also is the fact that PHRM has no debt and $7.62/share in cash.
Needless to say, I'm in PHRM today, maybe longer.
A
NL
Monday afternoon it was disclosed that Harold Simmons, CEO of NL Industries, had purchased $325K worth of NL stock, 25K shares at $13.25 avg price. NL closed Monday at $13.26.
Tuesday, NL opened at $13.50 on a small gap-up opening. But what is important is that NL closed Tuesday at $15.00. This was a great I-buy!
It didn't matter how quickly you got the Alert, or even what you paid for NL if you bought it on the Gap-Open on Tuesday. The essence of this trade was Harold Simmons buying a s**tload of stock. Get this message right, and you are in the zone for Insider-Buying profitability.
A
Tuesday, NL opened at $13.50 on a small gap-up opening. But what is important is that NL closed Tuesday at $15.00. This was a great I-buy!
It didn't matter how quickly you got the Alert, or even what you paid for NL if you bought it on the Gap-Open on Tuesday. The essence of this trade was Harold Simmons buying a s**tload of stock. Get this message right, and you are in the zone for Insider-Buying profitability.
A
Tuesday, May 02, 2006
Sally Alerts- Administrative
You may have received a few strange emails from Sally this morning... sorry! We're working to accommodate the very large response we received to the free offer, and will have everything worked out by the end of the week.
A
A
Monday, May 01, 2006
Sally
This is an important point one of our group has brought to my attention:
I've gotten 3 of these today. Every one is up .35-.50 by the time I receive it.
Always a huge spike in volume right after the insider buy.
Please read the web page section on Faster Email, Faster Trading!
Also, the response to our offer has been overwhelming and has caused some unanticipated delays (in seconds) in getting the Alerts out...we are working to have that fixed ASAP.
And remember, trading immediate pops is not for everyone, there are other ways to profit from insider buying that are much less dependent on the lowest entries.
A
I've gotten 3 of these today. Every one is up .35-.50 by the time I receive it.
Always a huge spike in volume right after the insider buy.
Please read the web page section on Faster Email, Faster Trading!
Also, the response to our offer has been overwhelming and has caused some unanticipated delays (in seconds) in getting the Alerts out...we are working to have that fixed ASAP.
And remember, trading immediate pops is not for everyone, there are other ways to profit from insider buying that are much less dependent on the lowest entries.
A
Monday Morning, 3:00AM
Another sleepless night. Joe and I stayed up late, mostly him since he is on the East Coast, to finish the Sally Insider Buying Alerts distribution. Here's the link to the Sally Insider information page that explains the emails we hope will be going out later today. Thanks Joe, for giving up your weekend to put it all together.
Up again at 3:00am here in Eastern Washington, waiting for another trading day, Imus on the TV across the room and "All The Roadrunning" playing in my head. A stunning, poignant, poetic collection of songs and harmonies by Mark Knopfler and Emmy Lou Harris. "If This is Good-bye," haunts. Haven't been touched my music since I was another person. If this is what it took, it was worth it. Buy it.
Last Thursday I was hiking across the mountain top across the way from my house. Dirt trails up and down steep to flat terrain wrapping through a quiet, beautiful forest. Down a steep decline, trying to get back on the path, I tripped on a loose rock and fell head first down about five feet and face-first across the flat stone and dirt path. Blood dripped from the abrasions on my face and head, my left arm which I tried to throw out to soften my fall was hyper-extended and my off and on chronically bad back is chronically bad again.
No doctors this time, just 1 generic Vicodin every six hours and cleaning the wounds three times a day.
Oh yea, my mouth. Took the brunt of the fall and still is swelled and painful, unable to handle extreme hot or cold or chewing of any consequence.
And my daughters, still so far away and missed with every thought of mine.
So why can't the Red Wings beat the Oilers? Is all this not enough suffering for one fan? And is that really why I am sleepless in Spokane, once again?
A
Up again at 3:00am here in Eastern Washington, waiting for another trading day, Imus on the TV across the room and "All The Roadrunning" playing in my head. A stunning, poignant, poetic collection of songs and harmonies by Mark Knopfler and Emmy Lou Harris. "If This is Good-bye," haunts. Haven't been touched my music since I was another person. If this is what it took, it was worth it. Buy it.
Last Thursday I was hiking across the mountain top across the way from my house. Dirt trails up and down steep to flat terrain wrapping through a quiet, beautiful forest. Down a steep decline, trying to get back on the path, I tripped on a loose rock and fell head first down about five feet and face-first across the flat stone and dirt path. Blood dripped from the abrasions on my face and head, my left arm which I tried to throw out to soften my fall was hyper-extended and my off and on chronically bad back is chronically bad again.
No doctors this time, just 1 generic Vicodin every six hours and cleaning the wounds three times a day.
Oh yea, my mouth. Took the brunt of the fall and still is swelled and painful, unable to handle extreme hot or cold or chewing of any consequence.
And my daughters, still so far away and missed with every thought of mine.
So why can't the Red Wings beat the Oilers? Is all this not enough suffering for one fan? And is that really why I am sleepless in Spokane, once again?
A
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