Friday, November 30, 2007

CYTR

One of my services just recommended CYTR. We've had this one our radar and in our accounts from much lower levels($1.20--->$3.40). Where does it go from here? Watch and see.

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Well do ya, punk?

Case in point. Valence Technology. First posted here under $2, went up, went down, went back up. Now at $2.27. News out today: New Lithium-Ion Battery System


I know what you're thinking. "Did he fire six shots or only five?" Well, to tell you the truth, in all this excitement I kind of lost track myself. But being as this is a .44 Magnum, the most powerful handgun in the world, and would blow your head clean off, you've got to ask yourself a question: Do I feel lucky? Well, do ya, punk?

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TANSTAAFL

Some readers have posted under the latest NNVC thread that not all my stocks go up and stay up and I have been somewhat derelict in posting when profits should have been taken on these trading ideas. Ergo the title of this Blog and some thoughts on the matter.

If you want me to do all the work, pay me. Either give me limited trading authority on your accounts and compensate me in some manner or another, or find the administrator of my hedge fund and look into what it takes to get accepted as an investor.

The only other way is to make this a pay site. I have resisted this path from the beginning, based on premise that my ideas are so good, I can give them away free, no strings attached and we all make money.

Profitable trading is a very difficult business, even in bull markets. My skills have been honed over 30 years of trial and error. What remains standing is a remarkable knack for coming out ahead, year after year. Some trades don't work, some months lose money. But the winners more then make up for it.

Getting back to my point, if you want me to take your hand and lead you through each and every trade, I'm ready, willing and able to do it. Managed accounts, hedge funds, or pay-for-view blogs. If you want it all for free, you're dreaming.

Professor James V. McConnell at the University of Michigan taught me behavioral science. Day one, lecture one, the Law of TANSTAAFL:

THERE AIN'T NO SUCH THING AS A FREE LUNCH

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Monday, November 19, 2007

CNBC - "They Don't Like Jews"

I don't venture much into politics, but the current CNBC love-fest with Dubai cries out for some sober balance. Maybe it's here:

"How To Sell To Anti-Semites"

Friday, November 16, 2007

NNVC

NNVC is a development stage biotechnology company. We bought it when it's market cap was about $10M. Today it's market cap is about $50M, but it may be in a better risk:reward stance then it was at the $10M valuation.

Why? Hit these links:

(1) Recent interview with CEO.

(2) Summary of salient points posted on iHub.


A

Wednesday, November 14, 2007

Dines' Picks

This article from last week identifies some of Jim Dines' picks and since it was published in a public domain I think it's fair to publish them here and now:



PETER BRIMELOW
Gold, uranium rises vindicate 'Original Bug'
Commentary: And Dines predicts commodities' prices will climb even higher
By Peter Brimelow, MarketWatch
Last Update: 12:01 AM ET Nov 5, 2007


NEW YORK (MarketWatch) -- The Original Uranium Bug and the Original Gold Bug (they're the same James Dines) is breathing easier.

Dines, the octogenarian editor of The Dines Letter, was our Investment Letter Editor of the Year in 2006. See Jan. 1 column

More than 20 ago, he brilliantly reinvented himself as an active stock trader, after arguably staying a little too long with his first great insight: that the inflationary 1960s would doom the dollar and boost gold. (Hence Original Gold Bug).
Dines' reinvention worked. The Dines Letter is up 28.2% over the past 12 months vs. 15.1% for the dividend-reinvested Dow Jones Wilshire 5000, according to the Hulbert Financial Digest. And over the past 10 years, Dines is up an even more impressive 19.8% annualized vs. 7.4% for the total-return DJ Wilshire.

With spot gold back above $800 for the first time since 1980, Dines like many gold bugs could be pardoned for thinking that the conditions of his youth have returned. See Oct. 18 column

Indeed, Dines writes in his last letter, published in late October: "We would be very surprised if the gold price did not blast right through the old highs, and we reaffirm our old targets for gold of $3,000 to $5,000 an ounce (Plus silver over $100 an ounce) ... gold is not merely a colorful trinket but a monetary asset, and when mass fear strikes at the heart of paper money, the stampede to gold will be awesome."
What has really distinguished Dines in recent years, however, has been his advocacy of uranium. He argues that, ultimately, the only energy choice is between coal (resulting in global warming) and uranium.

When I last checked in with Dines, uranium had stumbled after a multi-year run. See Aug. 20 column

Dines was distressed but determined.

He now feels vindicated by the subsequent rebound, noting that many uranium stocks are back to the levels they achieved earlier this year.

He concludes: "Uranium action this year thus appears to be an example of an unusual "Major" consolidation, while the uranium market tries to figure out which path to take. We must remain stoically calm, and not allow our emotions to whip us back and forth ... Although stock market trends could change and force us to completely reassess the situation, events are proceeding as though an important bottom is behind us.""

Other Dines views: "Stock markets are getting a bit oversold here, and we are looking for a rally in the S&P 500 Index ($SPX)anytime, somewhere between the 1,420-1,495 areas, probably in November, paving the way for the traditional year-end rally."


But Dines still rates himself "long-term neutral" on stocks.

On bonds, Dines writes: "We are generally bearish, because bonds are overpriced. We would still avoid corporate or "junk" bonds, but instead stay with very short-term U.S Treasury paper or cash. We expect higher interest rates ahead ... This is not an enriching arena yet."

These stocks are rated "buys" in Dines' top-performing "Long-Term Growth" portfolio:

Pan American Silver Corp.
PAAS

Denison Mines Corp.
DNN

Laramide Resources Ltd.
LMRX.F

Fronteer Development Group Inc.
FRG

Mega Uranium Ltd.
MGAF.F

Paladin Resources
PALAF

Uranium One Inc
SXRZ.F

Arafura Resources I
ARAFF


Tuesday, November 06, 2007

"Our Next Killing"

In a special Interim Warning Bulletin this morning, Jim Dines had the following words for his The Dines Letter subscribers:


"As we have pondered how to lead our loyal, long-term TDLrs
toward our next "killing," our gaze has turned to something
important that has just happened. Very important. Profoundly
important.

"Silver has just made an Upside Breakout above $15/oz.
Not everybody will recognize the importance of silver's Upside
Breakout, for which we have been patiently watching like a cat
outside a mouse's hole."


We've made a lot of money off of Jim Dines over the past few years and I suspect this shot across the bow will result in more of the same.

A

Observations

TGB and VLNC continue to make new breakout highs and look outstanding. Dines' uranium stocks also are starting to move up very nicely, every day. Gold and Silver stocks also are providing some great trading opportunities. Gravitas as been on a Sell for a week, but is within 24 hours of a new Buy. The Red Wings look great, best start in years.

Monday, November 05, 2007

VLNC

Valence Technology was written up previously, around $2 a share, it fell into the low $1 area and has been running ever since bottoming in early summer '07. Beautiful base and breakout, not too late to get on board, high today is $2.21, but hopefully you still have your shares and/or have averaged down. This could run a long ways, hot sector and insider buying.

A

Saturday, November 03, 2007

Louis Navellier

Louis Navellier is one of my services, actually, two of them, Emerging Growth which is a monthly service and Quantum Growth, which is a weekly service. For today's lesson, all statistics are derived from the monthly service, Emerging Growth.

The newsletter is published once a month, on Fridays, after regular trading hours, but usually while after-hours trading is still open. Each monthly issue provides several "new buys" for subscribers.

The average stock price pop for these new buys from Friday's closing price to Monday's opening price is +3.61%

The average stock price gain for these new buys from Monday's opening price to Monday's High price of the day, is +2.81%


Since Labor day weekend, the S&P 500 is down 0.86%

Since Labor day weekend, the average gain for the new buys provided in the September and October newsletters, is +11.41%.

In these two newsletters, there were a total of 15 new buys. Of 15 new buys, 10 are profitable and 5 show losses. Again, if you bought all fifteen in equal amounts your net gain since Labor day is +11.41%.

Finally, Navellier has a new book out, "The Little Book That Makes You Rich: A Proven Market-Beating Formula for Growth Investing," in which he describes in the simplest of terms how he picks these stocks.

Someday maybe I'll write a book about how I trade these services for fun and profit. But right now, I'm having too much fun taking these services to the bank.

A

Thursday, November 01, 2007

Cramer

I just can't help myself, with the equity markets getting smashed Thursday morning, here is the recap from Cramer's TV show Wednesday:

Investors should set aside negative economic news and concerns about overvalued stocks and just concentrate on buying stocks and making money, Jim Cramer told viewers of his "Mad Money" TV show Wednesday.

Right now there is one problem facing investors: "they are overthinking this stock market," he said.

The market is not working the way the professionals think it should and thus the people who know more about investing are making less and the people who know less are making more, he said.

"There is a huge wall of money rolling at us courtesy of the Fed and it doesn't pay to over think it," Cramer said. "In fact it pays to not to over-think it." When money comes in, it drives stocks higher and that's all people should be looking at.


More here
.

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